Porto v Man City
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Porto v Man City
Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability88%
Implied (with margin)88%
Model edge—
Odds1.14 1/7
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Porto21%
Draw24%
Man City56%
All markets
MarketsProbOddsEdge
Man City56%1.76—
The Draw23%4.30—
Porto21%4.80—
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Porto or Man City76%——
Double chance — Man City or Draw68%——
Draw no bet — Man City58%——
Double chance — Porto or Draw56%——
Man City to win44%——
Draw no bet — Porto42%——
Porto to win32%——
Draw24%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 0.5 goals96%——
Over 1.5 goals88%——
Under 5.5 goals86%——
Under 4.5 goals73%——
BTTS — Yes69%——
Over 2.5 goals68%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.559%——
Under 3.5 goals54%——
Over 3.5 goals46%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals41%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals40%——
Under 2.5 goals32%——
BTTS — No31%——
Over 4.5 goals28%——
Over 5.5 goals14%——
Under 1.5 goals12%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals12%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.510%——
Goals range — 7+ goals7%——
Under 0.5 goals4%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw49%——
Porto to score 132%——
Man City to score 3+30%——
Man City to score 128%——
Man City to score 227%——
Porto to score 226%——
Winning margin — Draw24%——
Porto to score 3+22%——
Porto to score 020%——
Man City clean sheet20%——
Winning margin — Man City by 119%——
Man City win to nil16%——
Winning margin — Porto by 116%——
Man City to score 015%——
Porto clean sheet15%——
Winning margin — Man City by 214%——
Porto win to nil11%——
Correct score 1-110%——
Winning margin — Porto by 210%——
Correct score 1-29%——
Correct score 2-17%——
Correct score 2-27%——
Winning margin — Man City by 37%——
Correct score 1-36%——
Correct score 0-25%——
Correct score 0-15%——
Correct score 2-34%——
Correct score 0-04%——
Winning margin — Porto by 34%——
Correct score 3-14%——
Winning margin — Man City by 43%——
Winning margin — Porto by 42%——
Winning margin — Man City by 5+1%——
Winning margin — Porto by 5+1%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Over 0.5 goals79%——
1st Half Under 2.5 goals79%——
Man City to win either half61%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals53%——
Porto to win either half50%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals47%——
Half with most goals — 2nd46%——
Man City to score in both halves37%——
1st Half result — Man City36%——
1st Half result — Draw36%——
Half with most goals — 1st32%——
Porto to score in both halves30%——
1st Half result — Porto28%——
HT/FT Man City / Man City28%——
Half with most goals — Equal22%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals21%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals21%——
HT/FT Porto / Porto20%——
Man City to win both halves14%——
HT/FT Draw / Man City14%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw11%——
HT/FT Draw / Porto11%——
Porto to win both halves9%——
HT/FT Man City / Draw5%——
HT/FT Porto / Draw5%——
HT/FT Porto / Man City3%——
HT/FT Man City / Porto3%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Man City -2.594%——
Handicap — Porto +2.589%——
Handicap — Man City -1.584%——
Handicap — Porto +1.575%——
Handicap — Man City -0.568%——
Handicap — Porto +0.556%——
Handicap — Man City +0.544%——
Handicap — Porto -0.532%——
Handicap — Man City +1.525%——
Handicap — Porto -1.516%——
Handicap — Man City +2.511%——
Handicap — Porto -2.56%——