Heerenveen v AZ Alkmaar
Back to board
Football·Dutch Eredivisie· 2026-09-06 · 12:30

Heerenveen v AZ Alkmaar

Recommended bet
AZ Alkmaar or Draw
Double chance
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability88%
Implied (with margin)88%
Model edge
Odds1.13 2/15
All markets
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 2.5 Goals75%1.46
Under 2.5 Goals25%3.05
MarketsProbOddsEdge
Az Alkmaar51%1.92
Heerenveen25%3.95
The Draw24%4.20
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — AZ Alkmaar or Draw88%
Draw no bet — AZ Alkmaar86%
Double chance — Heerenveen or AZ Alkmaar83%
AZ Alkmaar to win71%
Double chance — Heerenveen or Draw29%
Draw17%
Draw no bet — Heerenveen14%
Heerenveen to win12%
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 0.5 goals97%
Over 1.5 goals91%
Under 5.5 goals80%
Over 2.5 goals75%
Under 4.5 goals65%
BTTS — Yes64%
BTTS Yes + Over 2.557%
Over 3.5 goals55%
Under 3.5 goals45%
Goals range — 4-6 goals45%
Goals range — 2-3 goals36%
BTTS — No36%
Over 4.5 goals35%
Under 2.5 goals25%
Over 5.5 goals20%
Goals range — 7+ goals10%
Under 1.5 goals9%
Goals range — 0-1 goals9%
BTTS Yes + Under 2.57%
Under 0.5 goals3%
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
AZ Alkmaar to score 3+53%
Both score no draw50%
Heerenveen to score 137%
Heerenveen to score 033%
AZ Alkmaar clean sheet33%
AZ Alkmaar win to nil30%
AZ Alkmaar to score 224%
Heerenveen to score 220%
Winning margin — AZ Alkmaar by 220%
Winning margin — AZ Alkmaar by 120%
AZ Alkmaar to score 117%
Winning margin — Draw17%
Winning margin — AZ Alkmaar by 315%
Heerenveen to score 3+10%
Winning margin — AZ Alkmaar by 49%
Correct score 1-29%
Correct score 1-38%
Correct score 0-28%
Winning margin — AZ Alkmaar by 5+8%
Correct score 0-37%
Winning margin — Heerenveen by 17%
Correct score 1-17%
AZ Alkmaar to score 06%
Heerenveen clean sheet6%
Correct score 1-46%
Correct score 0-45%
Correct score 2-25%
Correct score 0-15%
Correct score 2-35%
Heerenveen win to nil3%
Winning margin — Heerenveen by 23%
Winning margin — Heerenveen by 31%
Winning margin — Heerenveen by 40%
Winning margin — Heerenveen by 5+0%
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Over 0.5 goals81%
AZ Alkmaar to win either half81%
1st Half Under 2.5 goals77%
1st Half result — AZ Alkmaar54%
AZ Alkmaar to score in both halves53%
1st Half Under 1.5 goals51%
1st Half Over 1.5 goals49%
HT/FT AZ Alkmaar / AZ Alkmaar49%
Half with most goals — 2nd47%
Half with most goals — 1st32%
1st Half result — Draw32%
AZ Alkmaar to win both halves31%
Heerenveen to win either half28%
1st Half Over 2.5 goals23%
Half with most goals — Equal21%
1st Half Under 0.5 goals19%
HT/FT Draw / AZ Alkmaar18%
Heerenveen to score in both halves16%
1st Half result — Heerenveen15%
HT/FT Draw / Draw9%
HT/FT Heerenveen / Heerenveen7%
HT/FT Draw / Heerenveen5%
HT/FT Heerenveen / AZ Alkmaar4%
HT/FT AZ Alkmaar / Draw4%
HT/FT Heerenveen / Draw4%
Heerenveen to win both halves2%
HT/FT AZ Alkmaar / Heerenveen1%
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — AZ Alkmaar -2.599%
Handicap — AZ Alkmaar -1.596%
Handicap — AZ Alkmaar -0.588%
Handicap — AZ Alkmaar +0.571%
Handicap — Heerenveen +2.568%
Handicap — AZ Alkmaar +1.552%
Handicap — Heerenveen +1.548%
Handicap — AZ Alkmaar +2.532%
Handicap — Heerenveen +0.529%
Handicap — Heerenveen -0.512%
Handicap — Heerenveen -1.55%
Handicap — Heerenveen -2.51%