AZ Alkmaar v Willem II
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AZ Alkmaar v Willem II
Recommended bet
Over 2.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability78%
Implied (with margin)78%
Model edge-0.1%
Odds1.28 2/7
All markets
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 2.5 Goals78%1.28—
Under 2.5 Goals22%4.20—
MarketsProbOddsEdge
Az Alkmaar85%1.16—
The Draw10%9.60—
Willem II5%21.00—
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — AZ Alkmaar or Draw82%——
Double chance — AZ Alkmaar or Willem II81%——
Draw no bet — AZ Alkmaar78%——
AZ Alkmaar to win63%——
Double chance — Willem II or Draw37%——
Draw no bet — Willem II22%——
Draw19%——
Willem II to win18%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 0.5 goals98%——
Over 1.5 goals93%——
Over 2.5 goals78%——
Under 5.5 goals77%——
BTTS — Yes72%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.565%——
Under 4.5 goals60%——
Over 3.5 goals59%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals47%——
Under 3.5 goals41%——
Over 4.5 goals40%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals33%——
BTTS — No28%——
Over 5.5 goals24%——
Under 2.5 goals22%——
Goals range — 7+ goals12%——
Under 1.5 goals7%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals7%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.57%——
Under 0.5 goals2%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw56%——
AZ Alkmaar to score 3+50%——
Willem II to score 134%——
AZ Alkmaar to score 225%——
Willem II to score 225%——
Willem II to score 024%——
AZ Alkmaar clean sheet24%——
AZ Alkmaar win to nil21%——
Winning margin — AZ Alkmaar by 119%——
Winning margin — Draw19%——
AZ Alkmaar to score 118%——
Winning margin — AZ Alkmaar by 218%——
Willem II to score 3+18%——
Winning margin — AZ Alkmaar by 313%——
Winning margin — Willem II by 110%——
Correct score 2-18%——
Correct score 3-18%——
Winning margin — AZ Alkmaar by 47%——
Correct score 1-17%——
AZ Alkmaar to score 07%——
Willem II clean sheet7%——
Correct score 2-26%——
Correct score 2-06%——
Winning margin — AZ Alkmaar by 5+6%——
Correct score 3-25%——
Correct score 3-05%——
Winning margin — Willem II by 25%——
Correct score 4-15%——
Correct score 1-25%——
Willem II win to nil4%——
Correct score 4-24%——
Winning margin — Willem II by 32%——
Winning margin — Willem II by 41%——
Winning margin — Willem II by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Over 0.5 goals85%——
AZ Alkmaar to win either half77%——
1st Half Under 2.5 goals71%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals57%——
AZ Alkmaar to score in both halves55%——
1st Half result — AZ Alkmaar50%——
Half with most goals — 2nd48%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals44%——
HT/FT AZ Alkmaar / AZ Alkmaar44%——
Willem II to win either half36%——
Half with most goals — 1st32%——
1st Half result — Draw30%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals30%——
AZ Alkmaar to win both halves27%——
Willem II to score in both halves27%——
1st Half result — Willem II20%——
Half with most goals — Equal20%——
HT/FT Draw / AZ Alkmaar16%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals15%——
HT/FT Willem II / Willem II11%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw8%——
HT/FT Draw / Willem II6%——
HT/FT Willem II / Draw5%——
HT/FT Willem II / AZ Alkmaar5%——
HT/FT AZ Alkmaar / Draw5%——
Willem II to win both halves4%——
HT/FT AZ Alkmaar / Willem II2%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — AZ Alkmaar +2.597%——
Handicap — AZ Alkmaar +1.592%——
Handicap — AZ Alkmaar +0.582%——
Handicap — Willem II -2.574%——
Handicap — AZ Alkmaar -0.563%——
Handicap — Willem II -1.556%——
Handicap — AZ Alkmaar -1.544%——
Handicap — Willem II -0.537%——
Handicap — AZ Alkmaar -2.526%——
Handicap — Willem II +0.518%——
Handicap — Willem II +1.58%——
Handicap — Willem II +2.53%——