Porto v Moreirense
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Football·Portuguese Primeira Liga· 2026-09-04 · 19:15

Porto v Moreirense

Recommended bet
Porto or Draw
Double chance
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability87%
Implied (with margin)87%
Model edge
Odds1.15 1/7
All markets
MarketsProbOddsEdge
Porto83%1.19
The Draw13%7.80
Moreirense4%26.00
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Porto or Draw87%
Draw no bet — Porto83%
Double chance — Porto or Moreirense76%
Porto to win63%
Double chance — Moreirense or Draw37%
Draw24%
Draw no bet — Moreirense17%
Moreirense to win13%
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals95%
Over 0.5 goals92%
Under 4.5 goals87%
Over 1.5 goals76%
Under 3.5 goals72%
BTTS — No54%
Under 2.5 goals50%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Goals range — 2-3 goals48%
BTTS — Yes47%
BTTS Yes + Over 2.535%
Over 3.5 goals28%
Goals range — 4-6 goals26%
Under 1.5 goals24%
Goals range — 0-1 goals24%
Over 4.5 goals13%
BTTS Yes + Under 2.511%
Under 0.5 goals8%
Over 5.5 goals5%
Goals range — 7+ goals2%
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Moreirense to score 047%
Porto clean sheet47%
Porto win to nil39%
Moreirense to score 136%
Both score no draw31%
Porto to score 3+30%
Porto to score 128%
Porto to score 227%
Winning margin — Porto by 124%
Winning margin — Draw24%
Winning margin — Porto by 220%
Porto to score 015%
Moreirense clean sheet15%
Moreirense to score 213%
Correct score 2-013%
Correct score 1-012%
Correct score 1-111%
Winning margin — Porto by 311%
Correct score 2-110%
Winning margin — Moreirense by 19%
Correct score 0-08%
Correct score 3-08%
Moreirense win to nil7%
Correct score 3-16%
Winning margin — Porto by 45%
Moreirense to score 3+4%
Correct score 0-14%
Correct score 4-04%
Correct score 1-24%
Winning margin — Moreirense by 23%
Winning margin — Porto by 5+3%
Winning margin — Moreirense by 31%
Winning margin — Moreirense by 40%
Winning margin — Moreirense by 5+0%
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals89%
Porto to win either half73%
1st Half Over 0.5 goals69%
1st Half Under 1.5 goals67%
1st Half result — Porto46%
Half with most goals — 2nd43%
HT/FT Porto / Porto41%
1st Half result — Draw40%
Porto to score in both halves36%
1st Half Over 1.5 goals33%
1st Half Under 0.5 goals31%
Half with most goals — 1st31%
Moreirense to win either half26%
Half with most goals — Equal26%
Porto to win both halves23%
HT/FT Draw / Porto20%
HT/FT Draw / Draw14%
1st Half result — Moreirense14%
1st Half Over 2.5 goals11%
Moreirense to score in both halves9%
HT/FT Moreirense / Moreirense8%
HT/FT Draw / Moreirense6%
HT/FT Moreirense / Draw4%
HT/FT Porto / Draw4%
HT/FT Moreirense / Porto3%
Moreirense to win both halves2%
HT/FT Porto / Moreirense1%
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Porto +2.599%
Handicap — Porto +1.596%
Handicap — Porto +0.587%
Handicap — Moreirense -2.581%
Handicap — Porto -0.563%
Handicap — Moreirense -1.561%
Handicap — Porto -1.539%
Handicap — Moreirense -0.537%
Handicap — Porto -2.519%
Handicap — Moreirense +0.513%
Handicap — Moreirense +1.54%
Handicap — Moreirense +2.51%