Iga Swiatek v Podoroska
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Tennis·Women's US Open 2026· 2026-09-02 · 15:00

Iga Swiatek v Podoroska

Recommended bet
Iga Swiatek
Match winner
Best price at Betfair ExchangeHigh
Win probability95%
Implied (with margin)97%
Model edge-2.0%
Odds1.03 1/33
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Iga Swiatek89%
Podoroska11%
$1,728 liquidity · $33 traded · data from Polymarket
Why the model leans this way
  • Iga Swiatek holds serve 77% of games vs Podoroska's 60%
  • Podoroska wins only 43% of 2nd-serve points (Iga Swiatek: 51%)
  • Iga Swiatek wins 48% of return points vs Podoroska's 42%
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Iga Swiatek to win92%1.09—
Podoroska to win8%11.87—
MarketsProbOddsEdge
Iga Swiatek96%1.03—
Nadia Podoroska4%27.00—