N Osaka v K Siniakova
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Tennis·Women's US Open 2026· 2026-09-03 · 15:30

N Osaka v K Siniakova

Recommended bet
Naomi Osaka
Match winner
Best price at Betfair ExchangeHigh
Win probability77%
Implied (with margin)78%
Model edge-1.4%
Odds1.28 2/7
Crowd odds — Polymarket
N Osaka77%
K Siniakova24%
$51,227 liquidity · $940 traded · data from Polymarket
Why the model leans this way
  • N Osaka holds serve 75% of games vs K Siniakova's 64%
  • K Siniakova double-faults on 6% of serve points vs N Osaka's 4%
  • N Osaka serves aces on 8% of points vs K Siniakova's 3%
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
N Osaka to win63%1.58—
K Siniakova to win37%2.73—
MarketsProbOddsEdge
Naomi Osaka77%1.28—
Katerina Siniakova23%4.30—