Fritz v Ma Bellucci
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Tennis·Men's US Open 2026· 2026-09-03 · 17:00

Fritz v Ma Bellucci

Recommended bet
Taylor Fritz
Match winner
Best price at Betfair ExchangeHigh
Win probability88%
Implied (with margin)89%
Model edge-0.9%
Odds1.12 1/8
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Fritz89%
Ma Bellucci12%
$36,785 liquidity · $12,494 traded · data from Polymarket
Why the model leans this way
  • Fritz holds serve 88% of games vs Ma Bellucci's 77%
  • Ma Bellucci double-faults on 4% of serve points vs Fritz's 2%
  • Fritz serves aces on 14% of points vs Ma Bellucci's 9%
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Fritz to win74%1.34—
Ma Bellucci to win26%3.91—
MarketsProbOddsEdge
Taylor Fritz88%1.12—
Mattia Bellucci12%8.60—