Spain v Croatia
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Football·UEFA Nations League· 2026-09-29 · 18:45

Spain v Croatia

Recommended bet
Spain
Draw no bet
Best price at Betfair ExchangeMed
Win probability77%
Implied (with margin)93%
Model edge—
Odds1.07 1/14
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Draw no bet: Spain93%1.07—
Draw no bet: Croatia7%14.50—
GoalsProbOddsEdge
BTTS: No55%1.79—
Over 2.5 Goals52%1.50—
Under 2.5 Goals48%2.96—
BTTS: Yes45%2.20—
MarketsProbOddsEdge
Spain82%1.22—
The Draw12%8.00—
Croatia6%17.00—
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Spain or Draw83%——
Draw no bet — Spain77%——
Double chance — Spain or Croatia75%——
Spain to win58%——
Double chance — Croatia or Draw42%——
Draw25%——
Draw no bet — Croatia23%——
Croatia to win17%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals94%——
Over 0.5 goals92%——
Under 4.5 goals85%——
Over 1.5 goals78%——
Under 3.5 goals70%——
Over 2.5 goals52%——
BTTS — Yes52%——
BTTS — No48%——
Under 2.5 goals48%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals48%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.540%——
Over 3.5 goals30%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals28%——
Under 1.5 goals22%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals22%——
Over 4.5 goals15%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.512%——
Under 0.5 goals8%——
Over 5.5 goals6%——
Goals range — 7+ goals2%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Croatia to score 040%——
Spain clean sheet40%——
Croatia to score 137%——
Both score no draw35%——
Spain win to nil32%——
Spain to score 129%——
Spain to score 3+28%——
Spain to score 227%——
Winning margin — Draw25%——
Winning margin — Spain by 123%——
Winning margin — Spain by 218%——
Croatia to score 217%——
Spain to score 016%——
Croatia clean sheet16%——
Correct score 1-112%——
Winning margin — Croatia by 111%——
Correct score 2-011%——
Correct score 1-010%——
Correct score 2-110%——
Winning margin — Spain by 310%——
Croatia win to nil8%——
Correct score 0-08%——
Croatia to score 3+7%——
Correct score 3-07%——
Correct score 3-16%——
Correct score 1-25%——
Correct score 2-25%——
Winning margin — Croatia by 25%——
Correct score 0-14%——
Winning margin — Spain by 44%——
Winning margin — Spain by 5+2%——
Winning margin — Croatia by 31%——
Winning margin — Croatia by 40%——
Winning margin — Croatia by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals88%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals70%——
Spain to win either half69%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals66%——
Half with most goals — 2nd43%——
1st Half result — Spain42%——
1st Half result — Draw41%——
HT/FT Spain / Spain37%——
Spain to score in both halves34%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals34%——
Croatia to win either half32%——
Half with most goals — 1st31%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals30%——
Half with most goals — Equal26%——
Spain to win both halves20%——
HT/FT Draw / Spain19%——
1st Half result — Croatia17%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw14%——
Croatia to score in both halves13%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals12%——
HT/FT Croatia / Croatia10%——
HT/FT Draw / Croatia7%——
HT/FT Croatia / Draw4%——
HT/FT Spain / Draw4%——
Croatia to win both halves3%——
HT/FT Croatia / Spain3%——
HT/FT Spain / Croatia1%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Spain +2.598%——
Handicap — Spain +1.594%——
Handicap — Croatia -2.584%——
Handicap — Spain +0.583%——
Handicap — Croatia -1.566%——
Handicap — Spain -0.558%——
Handicap — Croatia -0.542%——
Handicap — Spain -1.534%——
Handicap — Croatia +0.517%——
Handicap — Spain -2.516%——
Handicap — Croatia +1.56%——
Handicap — Croatia +2.52%——