Be Shelton v Shapovalov
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Tennis·Men's US Open 2026· 2026-09-05 · 01:00

Be Shelton v Shapovalov

Recommended bet
Ben Shelton
Match winner
Best price at Betfair ExchangeHigh
Win probability78%
Implied (with margin)78%
Model edge-0.3%
Odds1.28 2/7
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Be Shelton78%
Shapovalov23%
$60,439 liquidity · $3,312 traded · data from Polymarket
Why the model leans this way
  • Be Shelton holds serve 88% of games vs Shapovalov's 80%
  • Shapovalov wins only 50% of 2nd-serve points (Be Shelton: 55%)
  • Shapovalov double-faults on 7% of serve points vs Be Shelton's 4%
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Be Shelton to win61%1.64—
Shapovalov to win39%2.56—
MarketsProbOddsEdge
Ben Shelton78%1.28—
Denis Shapovalov22%4.50—