Türkiye v Italy
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Türkiye v Italy
Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketMed
Win probability80%
Implied (with margin)80%
Model edge—
Odds1.25 1/4
All markets
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 2.5 Goals56%1.81—
Under 2.5 Goals44%2.18—
MarketsProbOddsEdge
Italy37%2.72—
Türkiye35%2.80—
The Draw28%3.55—
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Türkiye or Italy72%——
Double chance — Italy or Draw69%——
Double chance — Türkiye or Draw59%——
Draw no bet — Italy57%——
Draw no bet — Türkiye43%——
Italy to win41%——
Türkiye to win31%——
Draw28%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 0.5 goals93%——
Under 5.5 goals93%——
Under 4.5 goals83%——
Over 1.5 goals80%——
Under 3.5 goals67%——
BTTS — Yes60%——
Over 2.5 goals56%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals47%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.547%——
Under 2.5 goals45%——
BTTS — No40%——
Over 3.5 goals33%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals30%——
Under 1.5 goals20%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals20%——
Over 4.5 goals17%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.513%——
Over 5.5 goals8%——
Under 0.5 goals7%——
Goals range — 7+ goals3%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw39%——
Türkiye to score 135%——
Italy to score 133%——
Winning margin — Draw28%——
Türkiye to score 026%——
Italy clean sheet26%——
Italy to score 226%——
Türkiye to score 224%——
Italy to score 021%——
Türkiye clean sheet21%——
Italy to score 3+21%——
Winning margin — Italy by 120%——
Italy win to nil19%——
Winning margin — Türkiye by 117%——
Türkiye to score 3+15%——
Türkiye win to nil14%——
Correct score 1-113%——
Winning margin — Italy by 213%——
Winning margin — Türkiye by 29%——
Correct score 1-29%——
Correct score 2-18%——
Correct score 0-17%——
Correct score 0-07%——
Correct score 0-27%——
Correct score 2-26%——
Correct score 1-06%——
Winning margin — Italy by 36%——
Correct score 2-05%——
Correct score 1-35%——
Winning margin — Türkiye by 34%——
Winning margin — Italy by 42%——
Winning margin — Türkiye by 41%——
Winning margin — Italy by 5+1%——
Winning margin — Türkiye by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals83%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals75%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals59%——
Italy to win either half58%——
Türkiye to win either half49%——
Half with most goals — 2nd45%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals41%——
1st Half result — Draw38%——
1st Half result — Italy34%——
Italy to score in both halves32%——
Half with most goals — 1st32%——
1st Half result — Türkiye28%——
HT/FT Italy / Italy26%——
Türkiye to score in both halves26%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals25%——
Half with most goals — Equal24%——
HT/FT Türkiye / Türkiye19%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals17%——
HT/FT Draw / Italy14%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw13%——
Italy to win both halves13%——
HT/FT Draw / Türkiye11%——
Türkiye to win both halves8%——
HT/FT Italy / Draw5%——
HT/FT Türkiye / Draw5%——
HT/FT Türkiye / Italy3%——
HT/FT Italy / Türkiye2%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Italy -2.595%——
Handicap — Türkiye +2.591%——
Handicap — Italy -1.586%——
Handicap — Türkiye +1.579%——
Handicap — Italy -0.569%——
Handicap — Türkiye +0.559%——
Handicap — Italy +0.541%——
Handicap — Türkiye -0.531%——
Handicap — Italy +1.521%——
Handicap — Türkiye -1.515%——
Handicap — Italy +2.59%——
Handicap — Türkiye -2.55%——