Montpellier v Pau
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Football·French Ligue 2· 2026-09-11 · 18:00

Montpellier v Pau

Recommended bet
Montpellier or Draw
Double chance
De-vigged fair price from the marketMed
Win probability77%
Implied (with margin)77%
Model edge
Odds1.29 2/7
All markets
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 2.5 Goals51%2.16
Under 2.5 Goals49%1.83
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Montpellier or Draw77%
Double chance — Montpellier or Pau73%
Draw no bet — Montpellier69%
Montpellier to win50%
Double chance — Pau or Draw50%
Draw no bet — Pau31%
Draw27%
Pau to win23%
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals94%
Over 0.5 goals92%
Under 4.5 goals86%
Over 1.5 goals77%
Under 3.5 goals71%
BTTS — Yes55%
Over 2.5 goals51%
Under 2.5 goals49%
Goals range — 2-3 goals48%
BTTS — No45%
BTTS Yes + Over 2.542%
Over 3.5 goals29%
Goals range — 4-6 goals27%
Under 1.5 goals23%
Goals range — 0-1 goals23%
Over 4.5 goals14%
BTTS Yes + Under 2.513%
Under 0.5 goals8%
Over 5.5 goals6%
Goals range — 7+ goals2%
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Pau to score 137%
Both score no draw35%
Pau to score 035%
Montpellier clean sheet35%
Montpellier to score 131%
Winning margin — Draw27%
Montpellier win to nil27%
Montpellier to score 226%
Montpellier to score 3+24%
Winning margin — Montpellier by 122%
Pau to score 220%
Montpellier to score 019%
Pau clean sheet19%
Winning margin — Montpellier by 216%
Winning margin — Pau by 114%
Correct score 1-113%
Pau win to nil11%
Correct score 2-110%
Correct score 1-09%
Pau to score 3+9%
Correct score 2-09%
Correct score 0-08%
Winning margin — Montpellier by 38%
Winning margin — Pau by 26%
Correct score 1-26%
Correct score 0-15%
Correct score 3-15%
Correct score 2-25%
Correct score 3-05%
Winning margin — Montpellier by 43%
Winning margin — Pau by 32%
Winning margin — Montpellier by 5+1%
Winning margin — Pau by 41%
Winning margin — Pau by 5+0%
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals83%
1st Half Over 0.5 goals76%
Montpellier to win either half67%
1st Half Under 1.5 goals59%
Half with most goals — 2nd45%
1st Half Over 1.5 goals41%
1st Half result — Montpellier41%
Pau to win either half40%
Montpellier to score in both halves38%
1st Half result — Draw37%
HT/FT Montpellier / Montpellier34%
Half with most goals — 1st32%
1st Half Under 0.5 goals24%
Half with most goals — Equal23%
1st Half result — Pau22%
Pau to score in both halves21%
Montpellier to win both halves18%
1st Half Over 2.5 goals17%
HT/FT Draw / Montpellier17%
HT/FT Pau / Pau14%
HT/FT Draw / Draw12%
HT/FT Draw / Pau9%
Pau to win both halves5%
HT/FT Pau / Draw5%
HT/FT Montpellier / Draw5%
HT/FT Pau / Montpellier3%
HT/FT Montpellier / Pau2%
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Montpellier +2.597%
Handicap — Montpellier +1.591%
Handicap — Pau -2.588%
Handicap — Montpellier +0.577%
Handicap — Pau -1.572%
Handicap — Montpellier -0.550%
Handicap — Pau -0.550%
Handicap — Montpellier -1.528%
Handicap — Pau +0.523%
Handicap — Montpellier -2.512%
Handicap — Pau +1.59%
Handicap — Pau +2.53%