Middlesbrough v Millwall
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Football·English Sky Bet Championship· 2026-09-15 · 18:45

Middlesbrough v Millwall

Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability82%
Implied (with margin)82%
Model edge
Odds1.22 2/9
All markets
MarketsProbOddsEdge
Middlesbrough61%1.61
The Draw22%4.50
Millwall17%5.80
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Middlesbrough or Draw78%
Double chance — Middlesbrough or Millwall75%
Draw no bet — Middlesbrough70%
Middlesbrough to win52%
Double chance — Millwall or Draw48%
Draw no bet — Millwall30%
Draw25%
Millwall to win22%
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 0.5 goals94%
Under 5.5 goals91%
Over 1.5 goals82%
Under 4.5 goals81%
Under 3.5 goals64%
BTTS — Yes60%
Over 2.5 goals59%
BTTS Yes + Over 2.548%
Goals range — 2-3 goals46%
Under 2.5 goals41%
BTTS — No40%
Over 3.5 goals36%
Goals range — 4-6 goals33%
Over 4.5 goals19%
Under 1.5 goals18%
Goals range — 0-1 goals18%
BTTS Yes + Under 2.512%
Over 5.5 goals9%
Under 0.5 goals6%
Goals range — 7+ goals4%
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw41%
Millwall to score 136%
Millwall to score 031%
Middlesbrough clean sheet31%
Middlesbrough to score 3+29%
Middlesbrough to score 129%
Middlesbrough to score 227%
Winning margin — Draw25%
Middlesbrough win to nil25%
Winning margin — Middlesbrough by 122%
Millwall to score 221%
Winning margin — Middlesbrough by 216%
Middlesbrough to score 015%
Millwall clean sheet15%
Winning margin — Millwall by 113%
Correct score 1-112%
Millwall to score 3+12%
Correct score 2-110%
Millwall win to nil9%
Winning margin — Middlesbrough by 39%
Correct score 2-08%
Correct score 1-08%
Winning margin — Millwall by 26%
Correct score 3-16%
Correct score 1-26%
Correct score 0-06%
Correct score 2-26%
Correct score 3-05%
Correct score 0-14%
Winning margin — Middlesbrough by 44%
Winning margin — Millwall by 32%
Winning margin — Middlesbrough by 5+2%
Winning margin — Millwall by 41%
Winning margin — Millwall by 5+0%
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Over 0.5 goals79%
1st Half Under 2.5 goals79%
Middlesbrough to win either half69%
1st Half Under 1.5 goals54%
1st Half Over 1.5 goals47%
Half with most goals — 2nd46%
1st Half result — Middlesbrough43%
Middlesbrough to score in both halves43%
Millwall to win either half40%
HT/FT Middlesbrough / Middlesbrough36%
1st Half result — Draw35%
Half with most goals — 1st32%
Millwall to score in both halves24%
1st Half result — Millwall22%
Half with most goals — Equal22%
1st Half Over 2.5 goals21%
1st Half Under 0.5 goals21%
Middlesbrough to win both halves20%
HT/FT Draw / Middlesbrough16%
HT/FT Millwall / Millwall14%
HT/FT Draw / Draw11%
HT/FT Draw / Millwall8%
Millwall to win both halves5%
HT/FT Millwall / Draw5%
HT/FT Middlesbrough / Draw5%
HT/FT Millwall / Middlesbrough4%
HT/FT Middlesbrough / Millwall2%
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Middlesbrough +2.597%
Handicap — Middlesbrough +1.591%
Handicap — Millwall -2.586%
Handicap — Middlesbrough +0.578%
Handicap — Millwall -1.569%
Handicap — Middlesbrough -0.552%
Handicap — Millwall -0.548%
Handicap — Middlesbrough -1.531%
Handicap — Millwall +0.522%
Handicap — Middlesbrough -2.514%
Handicap — Millwall +1.59%
Handicap — Millwall +2.53%