M Kostyuk v L Samsonova
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Tennis·WTA Guadalajara 2026· 2026-09-17 · 23:00

M Kostyuk v L Samsonova

Recommended bet
Marta Kostyuk
Match winner
Best price at Betfair ExchangeHigh
Win probability77%
Implied (with margin)78%
Model edge-0.8%
Odds1.28 2/7
Crowd odds — Polymarket
M Kostyuk78%
L Samsonova23%
$71,543 liquidity · $3,326 traded · data from Polymarket
Why the model leans this way
  • M Kostyuk double-faults on 7% of serve points vs L Samsonova's 6%
  • M Kostyuk wins 46% of return points vs L Samsonova's 42%
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
M Kostyuk to win73%1.38—
L Samsonova to win27%3.65—
MarketsProbOddsEdge
Marta Kostyuk77%1.28—
Liudmila Samsonova23%4.40—