Japan v Uruguay
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Football·Friendlies International· 2026-09-24 · 10:05

Japan v Uruguay

Recommended bet
Japan or Draw
Double chance
De-vigged fair price from the marketMed
Win probability80%
Implied (with margin)80%
Model edge
Odds1.25 1/4
All markets
MarketsProbOddsEdge
Japan46%2.12
The Draw29%3.40
Uruguay25%3.90
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Japan or Draw80%
Double chance — Japan or Uruguay73%
Draw no bet — Japan73%
Japan to win53%
Double chance — Uruguay or Draw47%
Draw no bet — Uruguay27%
Draw27%
Uruguay to win20%
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals95%
Over 0.5 goals92%
Under 4.5 goals87%
Over 1.5 goals76%
Under 3.5 goals72%
BTTS — Yes52%
Under 2.5 goals50%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Goals range — 2-3 goals48%
BTTS — No48%
BTTS Yes + Over 2.539%
Over 3.5 goals28%
Goals range — 4-6 goals26%
Under 1.5 goals24%
Goals range — 0-1 goals24%
Over 4.5 goals13%
BTTS Yes + Under 2.513%
Under 0.5 goals8%
Over 5.5 goals5%
Goals range — 7+ goals2%
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Uruguay to score 038%
Japan clean sheet38%
Uruguay to score 137%
Both score no draw34%
Japan to score 131%
Japan win to nil30%
Winning margin — Draw27%
Japan to score 226%
Japan to score 3+24%
Winning margin — Japan by 123%
Japan to score 018%
Uruguay clean sheet18%
Uruguay to score 218%
Winning margin — Japan by 217%
Correct score 1-113%
Winning margin — Uruguay by 113%
Correct score 1-010%
Correct score 2-010%
Uruguay win to nil10%
Correct score 2-110%
Winning margin — Japan by 39%
Correct score 0-08%
Uruguay to score 3+7%
Correct score 3-06%
Correct score 1-26%
Correct score 3-16%
Winning margin — Uruguay by 25%
Correct score 0-15%
Correct score 2-25%
Winning margin — Japan by 43%
Winning margin — Uruguay by 32%
Winning margin — Japan by 5+2%
Winning margin — Uruguay by 40%
Winning margin — Uruguay by 5+0%
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals91%
1st Half Under 1.5 goals72%
1st Half Over 0.5 goals65%
Japan to win either half63%
1st Half result — Draw45%
Half with most goals — 2nd42%
1st Half result — Japan37%
1st Half Under 0.5 goals35%
Uruguay to win either half34%
HT/FT Japan / Japan32%
Half with most goals — 1st30%
Half with most goals — Equal28%
1st Half Over 1.5 goals28%
Japan to score in both halves27%
HT/FT Draw / Japan18%
1st Half result — Uruguay18%
HT/FT Draw / Draw18%
Japan to win both halves15%
Uruguay to score in both halves12%
HT/FT Uruguay / Uruguay12%
1st Half Over 2.5 goals9%
HT/FT Draw / Uruguay9%
HT/FT Uruguay / Draw4%
HT/FT Japan / Draw4%
Uruguay to win both halves4%
HT/FT Uruguay / Japan2%
HT/FT Japan / Uruguay1%
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Japan +2.598%
Handicap — Japan +1.593%
Handicap — Uruguay -2.587%
Handicap — Japan +0.580%
Handicap — Uruguay -1.570%
Handicap — Japan -0.553%
Handicap — Uruguay -0.547%
Handicap — Japan -1.530%
Handicap — Uruguay +0.520%
Handicap — Japan -2.513%
Handicap — Uruguay +1.57%
Handicap — Uruguay +2.52%