South Korea v Ecuador
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Football·Friendlies International· 2026-09-24 · 11:00

South Korea v Ecuador

Recommended bet
Under 3.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketMed
Win probability75%
Implied (with margin)75%
Model edge
Odds1.33 1/3
All markets
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 2.5 Goals54%1.71
BTTS: Yes51%1.90
BTTS: No49%1.94
Over 2.5 Goals46%2.34
MarketsProbOddsEdge
South Korea39%2.46
Ecuador32%3.05
The Draw29%3.30
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — South Korea or Draw71%
Double chance — South Korea or Ecuador70%
Draw no bet — South Korea59%
Double chance — Ecuador or Draw59%
South Korea to win41%
Draw no bet — Ecuador41%
Draw30%
Ecuador to win29%
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals96%
Over 0.5 goals90%
Under 4.5 goals89%
Under 3.5 goals75%
Over 1.5 goals74%
Under 2.5 goals54%
BTTS — Yes53%
Goals range — 2-3 goals49%
BTTS — No47%
Over 2.5 goals47%
BTTS Yes + Over 2.539%
Under 1.5 goals26%
Goals range — 0-1 goals26%
Over 3.5 goals25%
Goals range — 4-6 goals23%
BTTS Yes + Under 2.514%
Over 4.5 goals11%
Under 0.5 goals10%
Over 5.5 goals4%
Goals range — 7+ goals2%
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Ecuador to score 137%
South Korea to score 135%
Both score no draw33%
Ecuador to score 032%
South Korea clean sheet32%
Winning margin — Draw30%
South Korea to score 025%
Ecuador clean sheet25%
South Korea to score 224%
South Korea win to nil23%
Winning margin — South Korea by 121%
Ecuador to score 221%
Winning margin — Ecuador by 117%
South Korea to score 3+17%
Ecuador win to nil15%
Correct score 1-114%
Winning margin — South Korea by 213%
Ecuador to score 3+11%
Correct score 0-010%
Correct score 1-010%
Correct score 2-19%
Winning margin — Ecuador by 28%
Correct score 2-08%
Correct score 0-17%
Correct score 1-27%
Winning margin — South Korea by 35%
Correct score 0-25%
Correct score 2-25%
Correct score 3-14%
Winning margin — Ecuador by 33%
Winning margin — South Korea by 42%
Winning margin — Ecuador by 41%
Winning margin — South Korea by 5+1%
Winning margin — Ecuador by 5+0%
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals95%
1st Half Under 1.5 goals80%
1st Half Over 0.5 goals57%
1st Half result — Draw51%
South Korea to win either half50%
1st Half Under 0.5 goals43%
Ecuador to win either half40%
Half with most goals — 2nd39%
Half with most goals — Equal32%
Half with most goals — 1st29%
1st Half result — South Korea28%
HT/FT Draw / Draw23%
HT/FT South Korea / South Korea22%
1st Half result — Ecuador21%
1st Half Over 1.5 goals21%
South Korea to score in both halves16%
HT/FT Draw / South Korea16%
HT/FT Ecuador / Ecuador16%
HT/FT Draw / Ecuador12%
Ecuador to score in both halves12%
South Korea to win both halves8%
1st Half Over 2.5 goals5%
Ecuador to win both halves5%
HT/FT Ecuador / Draw4%
HT/FT South Korea / Draw4%
HT/FT Ecuador / South Korea1%
HT/FT South Korea / Ecuador1%
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — South Korea +2.596%
Handicap — Ecuador -2.592%
Handicap — South Korea +1.588%
Handicap — Ecuador -1.580%
Handicap — South Korea +0.571%
Handicap — Ecuador -0.559%
Handicap — South Korea -0.541%
Handicap — Ecuador +0.529%
Handicap — South Korea -1.520%
Handicap — Ecuador +1.512%
Handicap — South Korea -2.58%
Handicap — Ecuador +2.54%