Belgium v France
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Football·UEFA Nations League· 2026-09-28 · 18:45

Belgium v France

Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketMed
Win probability80%
Implied (with margin)80%
Model edge—
Odds1.25 1/4
All markets
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 2.5 Goals55%1.59—
Under 2.5 Goals45%2.66—
MarketsProbOddsEdge
France50%1.99—
Belgium26%3.80—
The Draw24%4.10—
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Belgium or France72%——
Double chance — Belgium or Draw66%——
Double chance — France or Draw62%——
Draw no bet — Belgium53%——
Draw no bet — France47%——
Belgium to win38%——
France to win34%——
Draw28%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 0.5 goals93%——
Under 5.5 goals93%——
Under 4.5 goals83%——
Over 1.5 goals80%——
Under 3.5 goals67%——
BTTS — Yes60%——
Over 2.5 goals55%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals47%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.547%——
Under 2.5 goals45%——
BTTS — No40%——
Over 3.5 goals33%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals30%——
Under 1.5 goals20%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals20%——
Over 4.5 goals17%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.513%——
Over 5.5 goals7%——
Under 0.5 goals7%——
Goals range — 7+ goals3%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw39%——
France to score 135%——
Belgium to score 134%——
Winning margin — Draw28%——
Belgium to score 225%——
France to score 025%——
Belgium clean sheet25%——
France to score 224%——
Belgium to score 023%——
France clean sheet23%——
Winning margin — Belgium by 119%——
Belgium to score 3+19%——
Winning margin — France by 118%——
Belgium win to nil18%——
France to score 3+17%——
France win to nil15%——
Correct score 1-113%——
Winning margin — Belgium by 212%——
Winning margin — France by 210%——
Correct score 2-19%——
Correct score 1-28%——
Correct score 0-07%——
Correct score 1-07%——
Correct score 0-16%——
Correct score 2-06%——
Correct score 2-26%——
Correct score 0-25%——
Winning margin — Belgium by 35%——
Correct score 3-14%——
Winning margin — France by 34%——
Winning margin — Belgium by 42%——
Winning margin — France by 41%——
Winning margin — Belgium by 5+1%——
Winning margin — France by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals84%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals75%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals60%——
Belgium to win either half56%——
France to win either half51%——
Half with most goals — 2nd45%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals40%——
1st Half result — Draw39%——
1st Half result — Belgium32%——
Half with most goals — 1st32%——
Belgium to score in both halves30%——
1st Half result — France29%——
France to score in both halves27%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals25%——
HT/FT Belgium / Belgium24%——
Half with most goals — Equal24%——
HT/FT France / France21%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals16%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw13%——
HT/FT Draw / Belgium13%——
HT/FT Draw / France12%——
Belgium to win both halves11%——
France to win both halves9%——
HT/FT France / Draw5%——
HT/FT Belgium / Draw5%——
HT/FT France / Belgium3%——
HT/FT Belgium / France3%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Belgium +2.594%——
Handicap — France -2.593%——
Handicap — Belgium +1.584%——
Handicap — France -1.581%——
Handicap — Belgium +0.566%——
Handicap — France -0.562%——
Handicap — Belgium -0.538%——
Handicap — France +0.534%——
Handicap — Belgium -1.519%——
Handicap — France +1.516%——
Handicap — Belgium -2.57%——
Handicap — France +2.56%——