T Griekspoor v Shapovalov
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Tennis·ATP Chengdu 2026· 2026-09-24 · 05:00

T Griekspoor v Shapovalov

Recommended bet
Denis Shapovalov
Match winner
Best price at Betfair ExchangeMed
Win probability57%
Implied (with margin)57%
Model edge-1.0%
Odds1.75 8/11
Crowd odds — Polymarket
T Griekspoor43%
Shapovalov57%
$107,448 liquidity · $2,659 traded · data from Polymarket
Why the model leans this way
  • Shapovalov double-faults on 7% of serve points vs T Griekspoor's 4%
  • Shapovalov wins 37% of return points vs T Griekspoor's 33%
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Shapovalov to win55%1.80—
T Griekspoor to win45%2.25—
MarketsProbOddsEdge
Denis Shapovalov57%1.75—
Tallon Griekspoor43%2.28—