Shimabukuro v Hug Gaston
Back to board
Tennis·ATP Hangzhou 2026· 2026-09-24 · 03:00

Shimabukuro v Hug Gaston

Recommended bet
Hugo Gaston
Match winner
Best price at Betfair ExchangeMed
Win probability50%
Implied (with margin)51%
Model edge-0.5%
Odds1.98 Evens
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Shimabukuro49%
Hug Gaston52%
$51,569 liquidity · $5,130 traded · data from Polymarket
Why the model leans this way
  • Shimabukuro holds serve 81% of games vs Hug Gaston's 71%
  • Shimabukuro serves aces on 9% of points vs Hug Gaston's 4%
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Shimabukuro to win57%1.76—
Hug Gaston to win43%2.32—
MarketsProbOddsEdge
Hugo Gaston50%1.98—
Sho Shimabukuro50%2.00—