Luxembourg v Iceland
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Football·UEFA Nations League· 2026-09-29 · 18:45

Luxembourg v Iceland

Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketMed
Win probability79%
Implied (with margin)79%
Model edge—
Odds1.27 2/7
All markets
MarketsProbOddsEdge
Iceland41%2.42—
Luxembourg30%3.35—
The Draw29%3.40—
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Iceland or Draw77%——
Double chance — Luxembourg or Iceland73%——
Draw no bet — Iceland69%——
Iceland to win51%——
Double chance — Luxembourg or Draw49%——
Draw no bet — Luxembourg31%——
Draw27%——
Luxembourg to win23%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals93%——
Over 0.5 goals93%——
Under 4.5 goals84%——
Over 1.5 goals79%——
Under 3.5 goals69%——
BTTS — Yes56%——
Over 2.5 goals54%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals47%——
Under 2.5 goals46%——
BTTS — No44%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.544%——
Over 3.5 goals31%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals29%——
Under 1.5 goals21%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals21%——
Over 4.5 goals16%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.513%——
Under 0.5 goals7%——
Over 5.5 goals7%——
Goals range — 7+ goals3%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw37%——
Luxembourg to score 137%——
Luxembourg to score 033%——
Iceland clean sheet33%——
Iceland to score 131%——
Winning margin — Draw27%——
Iceland to score 227%——
Iceland win to nil26%——
Iceland to score 3+25%——
Winning margin — Iceland by 122%——
Luxembourg to score 220%——
Iceland to score 018%——
Luxembourg clean sheet18%——
Winning margin — Iceland by 216%——
Winning margin — Luxembourg by 114%——
Correct score 1-113%——
Luxembourg win to nil10%——
Luxembourg to score 3+10%——
Correct score 1-210%——
Correct score 0-29%——
Correct score 0-19%——
Winning margin — Iceland by 38%——
Correct score 0-07%——
Winning margin — Luxembourg by 26%——
Correct score 2-16%——
Correct score 1-36%——
Correct score 2-25%——
Correct score 0-35%——
Correct score 1-05%——
Winning margin — Iceland by 43%——
Winning margin — Luxembourg by 32%——
Winning margin — Iceland by 5+1%——
Winning margin — Luxembourg by 41%——
Winning margin — Luxembourg by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals86%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals72%——
Iceland to win either half65%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals63%——
Half with most goals — 2nd44%——
1st Half result — Draw40%——
1st Half result — Iceland39%——
Luxembourg to win either half39%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals37%——
Iceland to score in both halves33%——
HT/FT Iceland / Iceland33%——
Half with most goals — 1st31%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals28%——
Half with most goals — Equal25%——
1st Half result — Luxembourg21%——
Luxembourg to score in both halves18%——
HT/FT Draw / Iceland17%——
Iceland to win both halves17%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw14%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals14%——
HT/FT Luxembourg / Luxembourg14%——
HT/FT Draw / Luxembourg9%——
HT/FT Iceland / Draw5%——
HT/FT Luxembourg / Draw5%——
Luxembourg to win both halves5%——
HT/FT Luxembourg / Iceland3%——
HT/FT Iceland / Luxembourg2%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Iceland -2.597%——
Handicap — Iceland -1.591%——
Handicap — Luxembourg +2.587%——
Handicap — Iceland -0.577%——
Handicap — Luxembourg +1.571%——
Handicap — Iceland +0.551%——
Handicap — Luxembourg +0.549%——
Handicap — Iceland +1.529%——
Handicap — Luxembourg -0.523%——
Handicap — Iceland +2.513%——
Handicap — Luxembourg -1.59%——
Handicap — Luxembourg -2.53%——