Mannarino v Shapovalov
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Tennis·ATP Chengdu 2026· 2026-09-27 · 07:20

Mannarino v Shapovalov

Recommended bet
Denis Shapovalov
Match winner
Best price at Betfair ExchangeHigh
Win probability68%
Implied (with margin)68%
Model edge-0.2%
Odds1.46 4/9
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Mannarino31%
Shapovalov70%
$56,855 liquidity · $7,982 traded · data from Polymarket
Why the model leans this way
  • Shapovalov double-faults on 7% of serve points vs Mannarino's 3%
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Shapovalov to win63%1.59—
Mannarino to win37%2.71—
MarketsProbOddsEdge
Denis Shapovalov68%1.46—
Adrian Mannarino32%3.15—