Croatia v England
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Croatia v England
Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketMed
Win probability79%
Implied (with margin)79%
Model edge—
Odds1.27 2/7
All markets
MarketsProbOddsEdge
England53%1.88—
The Draw24%4.10—
Croatia23%4.40—
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — England or Draw78%——
Double chance — Croatia or England73%——
Draw no bet — England70%——
England to win51%——
Double chance — Croatia or Draw49%——
Draw no bet — Croatia30%——
Draw27%——
Croatia to win22%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals93%——
Over 0.5 goals93%——
Under 4.5 goals85%——
Over 1.5 goals79%——
Under 3.5 goals69%——
BTTS — Yes56%——
Over 2.5 goals53%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals48%——
Under 2.5 goals47%——
BTTS — No44%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.543%——
Over 3.5 goals31%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals29%——
Under 1.5 goals21%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals21%——
Over 4.5 goals16%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.513%——
Under 0.5 goals7%——
Over 5.5 goals7%——
Goals range — 7+ goals3%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Croatia to score 137%——
Both score no draw37%——
Croatia to score 034%——
England clean sheet34%——
England to score 131%——
Winning margin — Draw27%——
England to score 227%——
England win to nil26%——
England to score 3+25%——
Winning margin — England by 122%——
Croatia to score 220%——
England to score 018%——
Croatia clean sheet18%——
Winning margin — England by 216%——
Winning margin — Croatia by 113%——
Correct score 1-113%——
Croatia win to nil10%——
Correct score 1-210%——
Croatia to score 3+10%——
Correct score 0-29%——
Correct score 0-19%——
Winning margin — England by 38%——
Correct score 0-07%——
Winning margin — Croatia by 26%——
Correct score 2-16%——
Correct score 1-36%——
Correct score 2-25%——
Correct score 0-35%——
Correct score 1-05%——
Winning margin — England by 43%——
Winning margin — Croatia by 32%——
Winning margin — England by 5+1%——
Winning margin — Croatia by 41%——
Winning margin — Croatia by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals87%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals72%——
England to win either half65%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals64%——
Half with most goals — 2nd44%——
1st Half result — Draw40%——
1st Half result — England39%——
Croatia to win either half39%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals36%——
England to score in both halves33%——
HT/FT England / England33%——
Half with most goals — 1st31%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals28%——
Half with most goals — Equal25%——
1st Half result — Croatia21%——
Croatia to score in both halves17%——
HT/FT Draw / England17%——
England to win both halves17%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw14%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals14%——
HT/FT Croatia / Croatia13%——
HT/FT Draw / Croatia9%——
HT/FT England / Draw5%——
HT/FT Croatia / Draw5%——
Croatia to win both halves5%——
HT/FT Croatia / England3%——
HT/FT England / Croatia2%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — England -2.597%——
Handicap — England -1.591%——
Handicap — Croatia +2.587%——
Handicap — England -0.578%——
Handicap — Croatia +1.571%——
Handicap — England +0.551%——
Handicap — Croatia +0.549%——
Handicap — England +1.529%——
Handicap — Croatia -0.522%——
Handicap — England +2.513%——
Handicap — Croatia -1.59%——
Handicap — Croatia -2.53%——