Estonia v Luxembourg
Back to board
Football·UEFA Nations League C· 2026-10-03 · 16:00

Estonia v Luxembourg

Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketMed
Win probability77%
Implied (with margin)77%
Model edge—
Odds1.30 3/10
All markets
MarketsProbOddsEdge
Luxembourg37%2.68—
Estonia32%3.10—
The Draw31%3.20—
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Estonia or Luxembourg71%——
Double chance — Luxembourg or Draw65%——
Double chance — Estonia or Draw64%——
Draw no bet — Luxembourg50%——
Draw no bet — Estonia50%——
Luxembourg to win36%——
Estonia to win35%——
Draw29%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals94%——
Over 0.5 goals92%——
Under 4.5 goals86%——
Over 1.5 goals77%——
Under 3.5 goals71%——
BTTS — Yes57%——
Over 2.5 goals51%——
Under 2.5 goals49%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals48%——
BTTS — No44%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.543%——
Over 3.5 goals29%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals27%——
Under 1.5 goals23%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals23%——
Over 4.5 goals14%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.514%——
Under 0.5 goals8%——
Over 5.5 goals6%——
Goals range — 7+ goals2%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw36%——
Estonia to score 135%——
Luxembourg to score 135%——
Winning margin — Draw29%——
Estonia to score 026%——
Luxembourg clean sheet26%——
Luxembourg to score 026%——
Estonia clean sheet26%——
Luxembourg to score 224%——
Estonia to score 224%——
Winning margin — Luxembourg by 119%——
Winning margin — Estonia by 119%——
Luxembourg win to nil18%——
Estonia win to nil18%——
Luxembourg to score 3+16%——
Estonia to score 3+15%——
Correct score 1-114%——
Winning margin — Luxembourg by 211%——
Winning margin — Estonia by 211%——
Correct score 1-28%——
Correct score 0-08%——
Correct score 2-18%——
Correct score 0-18%——
Correct score 1-07%——
Correct score 0-26%——
Correct score 2-06%——
Correct score 2-26%——
Winning margin — Luxembourg by 34%——
Winning margin — Estonia by 34%——
Correct score 1-34%——
Winning margin — Estonia by 41%——
Winning margin — Luxembourg by 41%——
Winning margin — Estonia by 5+0%——
Winning margin — Luxembourg by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals90%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals70%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals67%——
Luxembourg to win either half50%——
Estonia to win either half50%——
1st Half result — Draw44%——
Half with most goals — 2nd42%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals34%——
Half with most goals — 1st31%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals30%——
1st Half result — Luxembourg28%——
1st Half result — Estonia28%——
Half with most goals — Equal27%——
HT/FT Luxembourg / Luxembourg21%——
HT/FT Estonia / Estonia21%——
Luxembourg to score in both halves21%——
Estonia to score in both halves20%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw17%——
HT/FT Draw / Luxembourg14%——
HT/FT Draw / Estonia13%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals10%——
Luxembourg to win both halves9%——
Estonia to win both halves8%——
HT/FT Luxembourg / Draw5%——
HT/FT Estonia / Draw5%——
HT/FT Luxembourg / Estonia2%——
HT/FT Estonia / Luxembourg2%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Luxembourg -2.594%——
Handicap — Estonia +2.594%——
Handicap — Luxembourg -1.583%——
Handicap — Estonia +1.583%——
Handicap — Luxembourg -0.565%——
Handicap — Estonia +0.564%——
Handicap — Luxembourg +0.536%——
Handicap — Estonia -0.535%——
Handicap — Luxembourg +1.517%——
Handicap — Estonia -1.517%——
Handicap — Luxembourg +2.56%——
Handicap — Estonia -2.56%——