USA v Mexico
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USA v Mexico
Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketMed
Win probability77%
Implied (with margin)77%
Model edge—
Odds1.30 3/10
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Draw no bet: Mexico54%1.83—
Draw no bet: USA46%2.16—
GoalsProbOddsEdge
BTTS: Yes57%1.74—
Over 2.5 Goals51%1.88—
Under 2.5 Goals49%2.08—
BTTS: No43%2.28—
MarketsProbOddsEdge
Mexico41%2.42—
USA34%2.88—
The Draw25%4.00—
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Mexico or Draw72%——
Double chance — USA or Mexico72%——
Draw no bet — Mexico61%——
Double chance — USA or Draw56%——
Mexico to win44%——
Draw no bet — USA39%——
Draw28%——
USA to win28%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals94%——
Over 0.5 goals92%——
Under 4.5 goals86%——
Over 1.5 goals77%——
Under 3.5 goals71%——
BTTS — Yes56%——
Over 2.5 goals51%——
Under 2.5 goals49%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals48%——
BTTS — No44%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.543%——
Over 3.5 goals29%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals27%——
Under 1.5 goals23%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals23%——
Over 4.5 goals14%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.514%——
Under 0.5 goals8%——
Over 5.5 goals6%——
Goals range — 7+ goals2%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
USA to score 136%——
Both score no draw36%——
Mexico to score 133%——
USA to score 031%——
Mexico clean sheet31%——
Winning margin — Draw28%——
Mexico to score 225%——
Mexico win to nil23%——
USA to score 222%——
Mexico to score 021%——
USA clean sheet21%——
Winning margin — Mexico by 121%——
Mexico to score 3+20%——
Winning margin — USA by 116%——
Winning margin — Mexico by 214%——
Correct score 1-114%——
USA win to nil13%——
USA to score 3+12%——
Correct score 1-29%——
Correct score 0-19%——
Correct score 0-08%——
Winning margin — USA by 28%——
Correct score 0-28%——
Correct score 2-17%——
Correct score 1-06%——
Winning margin — Mexico by 36%——
Correct score 2-26%——
Correct score 1-35%——
Correct score 2-05%——
Winning margin — USA by 33%——
Winning margin — Mexico by 42%——
Winning margin — USA by 41%——
Winning margin — Mexico by 5+1%——
Winning margin — USA by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals90%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals69%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals68%——
Mexico to win either half57%——
1st Half result — Draw43%——
USA to win either half43%——
Half with most goals — 2nd43%——
1st Half result — Mexico33%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals32%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals31%——
Half with most goals — 1st31%——
Half with most goals — Equal27%——
HT/FT Mexico / Mexico27%——
Mexico to score in both halves26%——
1st Half result — USA24%——
USA to score in both halves18%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw17%——
HT/FT USA / USA16%——
HT/FT Draw / Mexico16%——
Mexico to win both halves12%——
HT/FT Draw / USA11%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals11%——
USA to win both halves6%——
HT/FT Mexico / Draw5%——
HT/FT USA / Draw5%——
HT/FT USA / Mexico2%——
HT/FT Mexico / USA2%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Mexico -2.596%——
Handicap — USA +2.591%——
Handicap — Mexico -1.588%——
Handicap — USA +1.577%——
Handicap — Mexico -0.572%——
Handicap — USA +0.556%——
Handicap — Mexico +0.544%——
Handicap — USA -0.528%——
Handicap — Mexico +1.523%——
Handicap — USA -1.512%——
Handicap — Mexico +2.59%——
Handicap — USA -2.54%——