Japan v Ecuador
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Japan v Ecuador
Recommended bet
Japan or Draw
Double chance
De-vigged fair price from the marketMed
Win probability81%
Implied (with margin)81%
Model edge—
Odds1.24 1/4
All markets
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 2.5 Goals52%1.76—
Over 2.5 Goals48%2.20—
MarketsProbOddsEdge
Japan61%1.59—
The Draw22%4.40—
Ecuador16%6.00—
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Japan or Draw81%——
Draw no bet — Japan74%——
Double chance — Japan or Ecuador73%——
Japan to win54%——
Double chance — Ecuador or Draw46%——
Draw27%——
Draw no bet — Ecuador26%——
Ecuador to win19%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals95%——
Over 0.5 goals91%——
Under 4.5 goals88%——
Over 1.5 goals75%——
Under 3.5 goals74%——
Under 2.5 goals52%——
BTTS — Yes50%——
BTTS — No50%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals48%——
Over 2.5 goals48%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.537%——
Over 3.5 goals26%——
Under 1.5 goals25%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals25%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals25%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.513%——
Over 4.5 goals12%——
Under 0.5 goals9%——
Over 5.5 goals5%——
Goals range — 7+ goals2%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Ecuador to score 040%——
Japan clean sheet40%——
Ecuador to score 137%——
Both score no draw32%——
Japan to score 131%——
Japan win to nil31%——
Winning margin — Draw27%——
Japan to score 226%——
Winning margin — Japan by 124%——
Japan to score 3+24%——
Japan to score 019%——
Ecuador clean sheet19%——
Winning margin — Japan by 217%——
Ecuador to score 217%——
Correct score 1-113%——
Winning margin — Ecuador by 112%——
Correct score 1-011%——
Correct score 2-011%——
Ecuador win to nil10%——
Correct score 2-110%——
Correct score 0-09%——
Winning margin — Japan by 38%——
Ecuador to score 3+7%——
Correct score 3-06%——
Correct score 0-15%——
Correct score 3-15%——
Correct score 1-25%——
Winning margin — Ecuador by 25%——
Correct score 2-24%——
Winning margin — Japan by 43%——
Winning margin — Ecuador by 31%——
Winning margin — Japan by 5+1%——
Winning margin — Ecuador by 40%——
Winning margin — Ecuador by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals93%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals76%——
Japan to win either half61%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals61%——
1st Half result — Draw48%——
Half with most goals — 2nd40%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals40%——
1st Half result — Japan35%——
Ecuador to win either half32%——
HT/FT Japan / Japan30%——
Half with most goals — Equal30%——
Half with most goals — 1st30%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals24%——
Japan to score in both halves23%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw20%——
HT/FT Draw / Japan19%——
1st Half result — Ecuador17%——
Japan to win both halves14%——
HT/FT Ecuador / Ecuador11%——
Ecuador to score in both halves9%——
HT/FT Draw / Ecuador9%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals7%——
HT/FT Ecuador / Draw4%——
HT/FT Japan / Draw4%——
Ecuador to win both halves3%——
HT/FT Ecuador / Japan2%——
HT/FT Japan / Ecuador1%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Japan +2.598%——
Handicap — Japan +1.593%——
Handicap — Ecuador -2.587%——
Handicap — Japan +0.581%——
Handicap — Ecuador -1.570%——
Handicap — Japan -0.554%——
Handicap — Ecuador -0.546%——
Handicap — Japan -1.530%——
Handicap — Ecuador +0.519%——
Handicap — Japan -2.513%——
Handicap — Ecuador +1.57%——
Handicap — Ecuador +2.52%——