Nikol Bartunkova v A Sabalenka
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Tennis·WTA Beijing 2026· 2026-10-04 · 04:00

Nikol Bartunkova v A Sabalenka

Recommended bet
Aryna Sabalenka
Match winner
Best price at Betfair ExchangeHigh
Win probability82%
Implied (with margin)87%
Model edge-5.5%
Odds1.15 2/13
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Nikol Bartunkova16%
A Sabalenka85%
$24,348 liquidity · $438 traded · data from Polymarket
Why the model leans this way
  • A Sabalenka holds serve 79% of games vs Nikol Bartunkova's 65%
  • Nikol Bartunkova wins only 44% of 2nd-serve points (A Sabalenka: 51%)
  • Nikol Bartunkova double-faults on 6% of serve points vs A Sabalenka's 4%
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
A Sabalenka to win82%1.21—
Nikol Bartunkova to win18%5.67—
MarketsProbOddsEdge
Aryna Sabalenka82%1.15—
Nikola Bartunkova18%5.30—