Carlos Alcaraz v Munar
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Tennis·ATP Tokyo 2026· 2026-10-05 · 07:00

Carlos Alcaraz v Munar

Recommended bet
Carlos Alcaraz
Match winner
Best price at Betfair ExchangeHigh
Win probability86%
Implied (with margin)88%
Model edge-2.7%
Odds1.13 2/15
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Carlos Alcaraz89%
Munar12%
$20,520 liquidity · $15 traded · data from Polymarket
Why the model leans this way
  • Carlos Alcaraz holds serve 87% of games vs Munar's 78%
  • Munar wins only 50% of 2nd-serve points (Carlos Alcaraz: 56%)
  • Carlos Alcaraz wins 41% of return points vs Munar's 38%
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Carlos Alcaraz to win78%1.28—
Munar to win22%4.57—
MarketsProbOddsEdge
Carlos Alcaraz88%1.13—
Jaume Munar12%8.60—