Norrie v Shapovalov
Back to board
Tennis·ATP Shanghai 2026· 2026-10-07 · 04:00

Norrie v Shapovalov

Recommended bet
Denis Shapovalov
Match winner
Best price at Betfair ExchangeMed
Win probability57%
Implied (with margin)63%
Model edge-9.2%
Odds1.60 8/13
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Norrie47%
Shapovalov53%
$6,627 liquidity · $0 traded · data from Polymarket
Why the model leans this way
  • Shapovalov double-faults on 7% of serve points vs Norrie's 3%
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Norrie to win53%1.89—
Shapovalov to win47%2.13—
MarketsProbOddsEdge
Denis Shapovalov57%1.60—
Cameron Norrie43%2.10—