Mertens v Iga Swiatek
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Tennis·WTA Beijing 2026· 2026-10-09 · 04:00

Mertens v Iga Swiatek

Recommended bet
Iga Swiatek
Match winner
Best price at Betfair ExchangeHigh
Win probability78%
Implied (with margin)79%
Model edge-1.8%
Odds1.26 1/4
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Mertens21%
Iga Swiatek79%
$37,161 liquidity · $355 traded · data from Polymarket
Why the model leans this way
  • Mertens double-faults on 6% of serve points vs Iga Swiatek's 4%
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Iga Swiatek to win75%1.33—
Mertens to win25%3.99—
MarketsProbOddsEdge
Iga Swiatek79%1.26—
Elise Mertens21%4.70—