Carreno Busta v F Auger-Aliassime
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Tennis·ATP Shanghai 2026· 2026-10-12 · 04:00

Carreno Busta v F Auger-Aliassime

Recommended bet
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Match winner
Best price at Betfair ExchangeHigh
Win probability75%
Implied (with margin)75%
Model edge-0.5%
Odds1.33 1/3
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Carreno Busta26%
F Auger-Aliassime75%
$78,482 liquidity · $7,834 traded · data from Polymarket
Why the model leans this way
  • F Auger-Aliassime holds serve 86% of games vs Carreno Busta's 78%
  • F Auger-Aliassime serves aces on 12% of points vs Carreno Busta's 5%
  • F Auger-Aliassime saves 66% of break points vs Carreno Busta's 57%
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
F Auger-Aliassime to win72%1.38—
Carreno Busta to win28%3.61—
MarketsProbOddsEdge
Felix Auger-Aliassime75%1.33—
Pablo Carreno Busta25%3.95—