Ziz Bergs v Carlos Alcaraz
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Tennis·ATP Shanghai 2026· 2026-10-12 · 10:00

Ziz Bergs v Carlos Alcaraz

Recommended bet
Carlos Alcaraz
Match winner
Best price at Betfair ExchangeHigh
Win probability88%
Implied (with margin)92%
Model edge-3.8%
Odds1.09 1/12
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Ziz Bergs9%
Carlos Alcaraz92%
$28,712 liquidity · $219 traded · data from Polymarket
Why the model leans this way
  • Carlos Alcaraz holds serve 87% of games vs Ziz Bergs's 80%
  • Ziz Bergs double-faults on 5% of serve points vs Carlos Alcaraz's 3%
  • Carlos Alcaraz wins 41% of return points vs Ziz Bergs's 36%
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Carlos Alcaraz to win78%1.28—
Ziz Bergs to win22%4.57—
MarketsProbOddsEdge
Carlos Alcaraz91%1.09—
Zizou Bergs9%10.50—