Ostapenko v J Pegula
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Tennis·WTA Wuhan 2026· 2026-10-14 · 06:00

Ostapenko v J Pegula

Recommended bet
Jessica Pegula
Match winner
Best price at Betfair ExchangeHigh
Win probability68%
Implied (with margin)69%
Model edge-0.7%
Odds1.45 4/9
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Ostapenko33%
J Pegula68%
$71,826 liquidity · $1,188 traded · data from Polymarket
Why the model leans this way
  • J Pegula holds serve 74% of games vs Ostapenko's 65%
  • Ostapenko wins only 43% of 2nd-serve points (J Pegula: 50%)
  • Ostapenko double-faults on 7% of serve points vs J Pegula's 3%
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
J Pegula to win79%1.27—
Ostapenko to win21%4.71—
MarketsProbOddsEdge
Jessica Pegula68%1.45—
Jelena Ostapenko32%3.15—