Italy v France
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Italy v France
Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketMed
Win probability79%
Implied (with margin)79%
Model edge—
Odds1.26 1/4
All markets
GoalsProbOddsEdge
BTTS: Yes59%1.67—
Over 2.5 Goals55%1.67—
Under 2.5 Goals46%2.38—
BTTS: No41%2.38—
MarketsProbOddsEdge
France56%1.79—
The Draw24%4.20—
Italy20%4.90—
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — France or Draw73%——
Double chance — Italy or France73%——
Draw no bet — France62%——
Double chance — Italy or Draw55%——
France to win45%——
Draw no bet — Italy38%——
Draw27%——
Italy to win27%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals93%——
Over 0.5 goals93%——
Under 4.5 goals84%——
Over 1.5 goals79%——
Under 3.5 goals68%——
BTTS — Yes58%——
Over 2.5 goals55%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals47%——
Under 2.5 goals46%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.545%——
BTTS — No42%——
Over 3.5 goals32%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals30%——
Under 1.5 goals21%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals21%——
Over 4.5 goals16%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.513%——
Under 0.5 goals7%——
Over 5.5 goals7%——
Goals range — 7+ goals3%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw38%——
Italy to score 136%——
France to score 132%——
Italy to score 029%——
France clean sheet29%——
Winning margin — Draw27%——
France to score 226%——
France to score 3+23%——
Italy to score 222%——
France win to nil22%——
Winning margin — France by 121%——
France to score 020%——
Italy clean sheet20%——
Winning margin — Italy by 115%——
Winning margin — France by 214%——
Correct score 1-113%——
Italy to score 3+13%——
Italy win to nil12%——
Correct score 1-29%——
Winning margin — Italy by 28%——
Correct score 0-18%——
Correct score 0-28%——
Correct score 0-07%——
Correct score 2-17%——
Winning margin — France by 37%——
Correct score 2-26%——
Correct score 1-06%——
Correct score 1-35%——
Correct score 2-04%——
Winning margin — Italy by 33%——
Winning margin — France by 43%——
Winning margin — France by 5+1%——
Winning margin — Italy by 41%——
Winning margin — Italy by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals85%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals74%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals62%——
France to win either half61%——
Half with most goals — 2nd44%——
Italy to win either half44%——
1st Half result — Draw39%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals38%——
1st Half result — France36%——
France to score in both halves32%——
Half with most goals — 1st31%——
HT/FT France / France29%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals27%——
1st Half result — Italy25%——
Half with most goals — Equal24%——
Italy to score in both halves22%——
HT/FT Italy / Italy17%——
HT/FT Draw / France15%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals15%——
France to win both halves14%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw14%——
HT/FT Draw / Italy10%——
Italy to win both halves6%——
HT/FT France / Draw5%——
HT/FT Italy / Draw5%——
HT/FT Italy / France3%——
HT/FT France / Italy2%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — France -2.596%——
Handicap — Italy +2.590%——
Handicap — France -1.588%——
Handicap — Italy +1.576%——
Handicap — France -0.573%——
Handicap — Italy +0.555%——
Handicap — France +0.545%——
Handicap — Italy -0.527%——
Handicap — France +1.524%——
Handicap — Italy -1.512%——
Handicap — France +2.510%——
Handicap — Italy -2.54%——