Altmaier v Fritz
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Tennis·ATP Lyon 2026· 2026-10-23 · 13:10

Altmaier v Fritz

Recommended bet
Taylor Fritz
Match winner
Best price at Betfair ExchangeHigh
Win probability76%
Implied (with margin)76%
Model edge-0.7%
Odds1.31 3/10
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Altmaier25%
Fritz76%
$14,991 liquidity · $7,028 traded · data from Polymarket
Why the model leans this way
  • Fritz holds serve 88% of games vs Altmaier's 77%
  • Altmaier wins only 48% of 2nd-serve points (Fritz: 54%)
  • Fritz serves aces on 14% of points vs Altmaier's 8%
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Fritz to win79%1.27—
Altmaier to win21%4.73—
MarketsProbOddsEdge
Taylor Fritz76%1.31—
Daniel Altmaier24%4.10—