Fritz v Carlos Alcaraz
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Tennis·ATP Paris 2026· 2026-11-06 · 18:00

Fritz v Carlos Alcaraz

Recommended bet
Carlos Alcaraz
Match winner
Best price at Betfair ExchangeHigh
Win probability67%
Implied (with margin)72%
Model edge-6.3%
Odds1.39 2/5
Why the model leans this way
  • Carlos Alcaraz wins 41% of return points vs Fritz's 35%
  • Fritz serves aces on 14% of points vs Carlos Alcaraz's 7%
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Carlos Alcaraz to win57%1.76—
Fritz to win43%2.31—
MarketsProbOddsEdge
Carlos Alcaraz72%1.39—
Taylor Fritz28%3.50—