Spain v England
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Spain v England
Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketMed
Win probability78%
Implied (with margin)78%
Model edge—
Odds1.29 2/7
All markets
GoalsProbOddsEdge
BTTS: Yes60%1.65—
Over 2.5 Goals52%1.65—
Under 2.5 Goals48%2.50—
BTTS: No40%2.46—
MarketsProbOddsEdge
Spain55%1.81—
The Draw23%4.30—
England22%4.50—
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Spain or England72%——
Double chance — Spain or Draw69%——
Double chance — England or Draw60%——
Draw no bet — Spain56%——
Draw no bet — England44%——
Spain to win40%——
England to win31%——
Draw29%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals94%——
Over 0.5 goals92%——
Under 4.5 goals86%——
Over 1.5 goals78%——
Under 3.5 goals70%——
BTTS — Yes57%——
Over 2.5 goals52%——
Under 2.5 goals48%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals48%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.544%——
BTTS — No43%——
Over 3.5 goals30%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals27%——
Under 1.5 goals23%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals23%——
Over 4.5 goals14%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.514%——
Under 0.5 goals8%——
Over 5.5 goals6%——
Goals range — 7+ goals2%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw37%——
England to score 136%——
Spain to score 134%——
Winning margin — Draw29%——
England to score 028%——
Spain clean sheet28%——
Spain to score 225%——
Spain to score 023%——
England clean sheet23%——
England to score 223%——
Winning margin — Spain by 120%——
Spain win to nil20%——
Spain to score 3+19%——
Winning margin — England by 117%——
England win to nil15%——
England to score 3+14%——
Correct score 1-114%——
Winning margin — Spain by 213%——
Winning margin — England by 29%——
Correct score 2-19%——
Correct score 0-08%——
Correct score 1-08%——
Correct score 1-28%——
Correct score 2-07%——
Correct score 0-17%——
Correct score 2-26%——
Winning margin — Spain by 35%——
Correct score 0-25%——
Correct score 3-14%——
Winning margin — England by 34%——
Winning margin — Spain by 42%——
Winning margin — England by 41%——
Winning margin — Spain by 5+1%——
Winning margin — England by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals89%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals69%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals68%——
Spain to win either half55%——
England to win either half47%——
Half with most goals — 2nd43%——
1st Half result — Draw43%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals32%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals31%——
1st Half result — Spain31%——
Half with most goals — 1st31%——
Half with most goals — Equal26%——
1st Half result — England26%——
Spain to score in both halves25%——
HT/FT Spain / Spain24%——
England to score in both halves20%——
HT/FT England / England19%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw16%——
HT/FT Draw / Spain15%——
HT/FT Draw / England12%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals11%——
Spain to win both halves11%——
England to win both halves7%——
HT/FT England / Draw5%——
HT/FT Spain / Draw5%——
HT/FT England / Spain2%——
HT/FT Spain / England2%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Spain +2.595%——
Handicap — England -2.592%——
Handicap — Spain +1.586%——
Handicap — England -1.580%——
Handicap — Spain +0.569%——
Handicap — England -0.560%——
Handicap — Spain -0.540%——
Handicap — England +0.531%——
Handicap — Spain -1.520%——
Handicap — England +1.514%——
Handicap — Spain -2.58%——
Handicap — England +2.55%——