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Football·3. Liga· 2026-09-12 · 12:00

Fortuna Düsseldorf v MSV Duisburg

Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability90%
Implied (with margin)90%
Model edge
Odds1.12 1/9
All markets
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Fortuna Düsseldorf or MSV Duisburg76%
Double chance — MSV Duisburg or Draw65%
Double chance — Fortuna Düsseldorf or Draw59%
Draw no bet — MSV Duisburg54%
Draw no bet — Fortuna Düsseldorf46%
MSV Duisburg to win41%
Fortuna Düsseldorf to win35%
Draw24%
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 0.5 goals97%
Over 1.5 goals90%
Under 5.5 goals83%
BTTS — Yes72%
Over 2.5 goals72%
Under 4.5 goals68%
BTTS Yes + Over 2.563%
Over 3.5 goals51%
Under 3.5 goals49%
Goals range — 4-6 goals43%
Goals range — 2-3 goals39%
Over 4.5 goals32%
Under 2.5 goals28%
BTTS — No28%
Over 5.5 goals17%
Under 1.5 goals10%
Goals range — 0-1 goals10%
BTTS Yes + Under 2.510%
Goals range — 7+ goals8%
Under 0.5 goals4%
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw52%
MSV Duisburg to score 3+30%
Fortuna Düsseldorf to score 130%
MSV Duisburg to score 128%
MSV Duisburg to score 227%
Fortuna Düsseldorf to score 227%
Fortuna Düsseldorf to score 3+27%
Winning margin — Draw24%
Winning margin — MSV Duisburg by 118%
Fortuna Düsseldorf to score 017%
MSV Duisburg clean sheet17%
Winning margin — Fortuna Düsseldorf by 117%
MSV Duisburg to score 015%
Fortuna Düsseldorf clean sheet15%
MSV Duisburg win to nil13%
Winning margin — MSV Duisburg by 213%
Fortuna Düsseldorf win to nil11%
Winning margin — Fortuna Düsseldorf by 211%
Correct score 1-110%
Correct score 1-28%
Correct score 2-18%
Correct score 2-27%
Winning margin — MSV Duisburg by 37%
Correct score 1-35%
Winning margin — Fortuna Düsseldorf by 35%
Correct score 2-35%
Correct score 0-25%
Correct score 3-15%
Correct score 3-24%
Correct score 2-04%
Winning margin — MSV Duisburg by 43%
Winning margin — Fortuna Düsseldorf by 42%
Winning margin — MSV Duisburg by 5+1%
Winning margin — Fortuna Düsseldorf by 5+1%
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Over 0.5 goals82%
1st Half Under 2.5 goals76%
MSV Duisburg to win either half59%
Fortuna Düsseldorf to win either half54%
1st Half Over 1.5 goals50%
1st Half Under 1.5 goals50%
Half with most goals — 2nd47%
MSV Duisburg to score in both halves38%
Fortuna Düsseldorf to score in both halves35%
1st Half result — MSV Duisburg35%
1st Half result — Draw34%
Half with most goals — 1st32%
1st Half result — Fortuna Düsseldorf31%
HT/FT MSV Duisburg / MSV Duisburg26%
1st Half Over 2.5 goals24%
HT/FT Fortuna Düsseldorf / Fortuna Düsseldorf22%
Half with most goals — Equal21%
1st Half Under 0.5 goals19%
MSV Duisburg to win both halves13%
HT/FT Draw / MSV Duisburg13%
HT/FT Draw / Fortuna Düsseldorf11%
HT/FT Draw / Draw10%
Fortuna Düsseldorf to win both halves10%
HT/FT MSV Duisburg / Draw6%
HT/FT Fortuna Düsseldorf / Draw6%
HT/FT Fortuna Düsseldorf / MSV Duisburg3%
HT/FT MSV Duisburg / Fortuna Düsseldorf3%
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — MSV Duisburg -2.592%
Handicap — Fortuna Düsseldorf +2.590%
Handicap — MSV Duisburg -1.581%
Handicap — Fortuna Düsseldorf +1.577%
Handicap — MSV Duisburg -0.565%
Handicap — Fortuna Düsseldorf +0.559%
Handicap — MSV Duisburg +0.541%
Handicap — Fortuna Düsseldorf -0.535%
Handicap — MSV Duisburg +1.523%
Handicap — Fortuna Düsseldorf -1.519%
Handicap — MSV Duisburg +2.511%
Handicap — Fortuna Düsseldorf -2.58%