Mexico v South Korea
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Football·FIFA World Cup· 2026-06-19 · 01:00

Mexico v South Korea

Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketMed
Win probability75%
Implied (with margin)75%
Model edge—
Odds1.32 1/3
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Mexico49%
Draw28%
South Korea23%
$53,865 liquidity · $78,582 traded · data from Polymarket
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Match Winner — South Korea38%4.90—
Match Winner — Mexico33%1.90—
Match Winner — Draw29%3.70—
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 2.5 goals51%1.70—
Over 2.5 goals49%2.29—
Over 2 goals—1.74—
Under 2 goals—2.20—
Over 2.25 goals—2.04—
Under 2.25 goals—1.87—
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Mexico or South Korea71%——
Double chance — South Korea or Draw68%——
Double chance — Mexico or Draw62%——
Draw no bet — South Korea54%——
Draw no bet — Mexico46%——
South Korea to win38%——
Mexico to win33%——
Draw29%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals95%——
Over 0.5 goals91%——
Under 4.5 goals87%——
Over 1.5 goals76%——
Under 3.5 goals73%——
BTTS — Yes55%——
Under 2.5 goals51%——
Over 2.5 goals49%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals48%——
BTTS — No45%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.541%——
Over 3.5 goals27%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals25%——
Under 1.5 goals25%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals25%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.514%——
Over 4.5 goals13%——
Under 0.5 goals9%——
Over 5.5 goals5%——
Goals range — 7+ goals2%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Mexico to score 136%——
South Korea to score 135%——
Both score no draw35%——
Winning margin — Draw29%——
Mexico to score 029%——
South Korea clean sheet29%——
South Korea to score 025%——
Mexico clean sheet25%——
South Korea to score 224%——
Mexico to score 223%——
Winning margin — South Korea by 120%——
South Korea win to nil20%——
Winning margin — Mexico by 118%——
Mexico win to nil17%——
South Korea to score 3+16%——
Correct score 1-114%——
Mexico to score 3+13%——
Winning margin — South Korea by 212%——
Winning margin — Mexico by 210%——
Correct score 0-09%——
Correct score 1-29%——
Correct score 0-18%——
Correct score 2-18%——
Correct score 1-07%——
Correct score 0-27%——
Correct score 2-06%——
Correct score 2-25%——
Winning margin — South Korea by 35%——
Correct score 1-34%——
Winning margin — Mexico by 34%——
Winning margin — South Korea by 42%——
Winning margin — Mexico by 41%——
Winning margin — South Korea by 5+1%——
Winning margin — Mexico by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals92%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals73%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals64%——
South Korea to win either half51%——
1st Half result — Draw46%——
Mexico to win either half46%——
Half with most goals — 2nd41%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals37%——
Half with most goals — 1st30%——
Half with most goals — Equal29%——
1st Half result — South Korea28%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals27%——
1st Half result — Mexico25%——
HT/FT South Korea / South Korea22%——
South Korea to score in both halves19%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw19%——
HT/FT Mexico / Mexico19%——
Mexico to score in both halves17%——
HT/FT Draw / South Korea14%——
HT/FT Draw / Mexico13%——
South Korea to win both halves9%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals8%——
Mexico to win both halves7%——
HT/FT South Korea / Draw5%——
HT/FT Mexico / Draw5%——
HT/FT Mexico / South Korea2%——
HT/FT South Korea / Mexico2%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — South Korea -2.595%——
Handicap — Mexico +2.593%——
Handicap — South Korea -1.585%——
Handicap — Mexico +1.582%——
Handicap — South Korea -0.568%——
Handicap — Mexico +0.562%——
Handicap — South Korea +0.538%——
Handicap — Mexico -0.533%——
Handicap — South Korea +1.518%——
Handicap — Mexico -1.515%——
Handicap — South Korea +2.57%——
Handicap — Mexico -2.55%——