South Africa v South Korea
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Football·FIFA World Cup· 2026-06-25 · 01:00

South Africa v South Korea

Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketMed
Win probability76%
Implied (with margin)76%
Model edge
Odds1.32 3/10
Crowd odds — Polymarket
South Africa16%
Draw25%
South Korea62%
$24,158 liquidity · $26,239 traded · data from Polymarket
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Match Winner — Draw29%3.95
Match Winner — South Africa27%5.50
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 2.5 goals50%1.76
Over 2.5 goals50%2.11
Over 2.25 goals1.88
Under 2.25 goals1.99
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — South Korea or Draw73%
Double chance — South Africa or South Korea71%
Draw no bet — South Korea62%
Double chance — South Africa or Draw56%
South Korea to win44%
Draw no bet — South Africa38%
Draw29%
South Africa to win27%
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals95%
Over 0.5 goals91%
Under 4.5 goals87%
Over 1.5 goals76%
Under 3.5 goals72%
BTTS — Yes55%
Under 2.5 goals50%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Goals range — 2-3 goals48%
BTTS — No45%
BTTS Yes + Over 2.541%
Over 3.5 goals28%
Goals range — 4-6 goals26%
Under 1.5 goals24%
Goals range — 0-1 goals24%
BTTS Yes + Under 2.514%
Over 4.5 goals13%
Under 0.5 goals9%
Over 5.5 goals5%
Goals range — 7+ goals2%
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
South Africa to score 137%
Both score no draw35%
South Korea to score 133%
South Africa to score 032%
South Korea clean sheet32%
Winning margin — Draw29%
South Korea to score 225%
South Korea win to nil23%
South Korea to score 022%
South Africa clean sheet22%
Winning margin — South Korea by 121%
South Africa to score 221%
South Korea to score 3+20%
Winning margin — South Africa by 116%
Winning margin — South Korea by 214%
Correct score 1-114%
South Africa win to nil13%
South Africa to score 3+11%
Correct score 1-29%
Correct score 0-19%
Correct score 0-09%
Correct score 0-28%
Winning margin — South Africa by 28%
Correct score 2-17%
Correct score 1-06%
Winning margin — South Korea by 36%
Correct score 2-25%
Correct score 1-35%
Correct score 2-05%
Winning margin — South Africa by 33%
Winning margin — South Korea by 42%
Winning margin — South Korea by 5+1%
Winning margin — South Africa by 41%
Winning margin — South Africa by 5+0%
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals91%
1st Half Under 1.5 goals72%
1st Half Over 0.5 goals65%
South Korea to win either half57%
1st Half result — Draw45%
Half with most goals — 2nd42%
South Africa to win either half41%
1st Half Under 0.5 goals35%
1st Half result — South Korea32%
Half with most goals — 1st30%
1st Half Over 1.5 goals28%
Half with most goals — Equal28%
HT/FT South Korea / South Korea26%
South Korea to score in both halves24%
1st Half result — South Africa23%
HT/FT Draw / Draw18%
HT/FT Draw / South Korea16%
HT/FT South Africa / South Africa16%
South Africa to score in both halves15%
South Korea to win both halves12%
HT/FT Draw / South Africa11%
1st Half Over 2.5 goals9%
South Africa to win both halves6%
HT/FT South Korea / Draw5%
HT/FT South Africa / Draw5%
HT/FT South Africa / South Korea2%
HT/FT South Korea / South Africa2%
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — South Korea -2.597%
Handicap — South Africa +2.591%
Handicap — South Korea -1.589%
Handicap — South Africa +1.577%
Handicap — South Korea -0.573%
Handicap — South Africa +0.556%
Handicap — South Korea +0.544%
Handicap — South Africa -0.527%
Handicap — South Korea +1.523%
Handicap — South Africa -1.511%
Handicap — South Korea +2.59%
Handicap — South Africa -2.54%