Canada v Qatar
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Football·FIFA World Cup· 2026-06-18 · 22:00

Canada v Qatar

Recommended bet
Canada or Draw
Double chance
De-vigged fair price from the marketMed
Win probability80%
Implied (with margin)80%
Model edge
Odds1.25 1/4
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Canada75%
Draw18%
Qatar9%
$26,881 liquidity · $38,483 traded · data from Polymarket
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Match Winner — Canada54%1.34
Match Winner — Draw26%5.70
Match Winner — Qatar20%13.00
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 2.5 goals53%1.98
Under 2.5 goals47%1.92
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Canada or Draw80%
Double chance — Canada or Qatar74%
Draw no bet — Canada73%
Canada to win54%
Double chance — Qatar or Draw46%
Draw no bet — Qatar27%
Draw26%
Qatar to win20%
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals94%
Over 0.5 goals92%
Under 4.5 goals85%
Over 1.5 goals78%
Under 3.5 goals70%
BTTS — Yes54%
Over 2.5 goals53%
Goals range — 2-3 goals48%
Under 2.5 goals47%
BTTS — No46%
BTTS Yes + Over 2.542%
Over 3.5 goals30%
Goals range — 4-6 goals28%
Under 1.5 goals22%
Goals range — 0-1 goals22%
Over 4.5 goals15%
BTTS Yes + Under 2.513%
Under 0.5 goals8%
Over 5.5 goals6%
Goals range — 7+ goals2%
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Qatar to score 137%
Qatar to score 037%
Canada clean sheet37%
Both score no draw36%
Canada to score 130%
Canada win to nil29%
Canada to score 227%
Winning margin — Draw26%
Canada to score 3+26%
Winning margin — Canada by 123%
Qatar to score 219%
Winning margin — Canada by 217%
Canada to score 017%
Qatar clean sheet17%
Correct score 1-113%
Winning margin — Qatar by 112%
Correct score 2-110%
Correct score 2-010%
Correct score 1-010%
Qatar win to nil9%
Winning margin — Canada by 39%
Qatar to score 3+8%
Correct score 0-08%
Correct score 3-16%
Correct score 3-06%
Correct score 1-26%
Winning margin — Qatar by 26%
Correct score 2-25%
Correct score 0-15%
Winning margin — Canada by 44%
Winning margin — Canada by 5+2%
Winning margin — Qatar by 32%
Winning margin — Qatar by 40%
Winning margin — Qatar by 5+0%
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals87%
1st Half Over 0.5 goals71%
Canada to win either half67%
1st Half Under 1.5 goals65%
Half with most goals — 2nd44%
1st Half result — Canada40%
1st Half result — Draw40%
Qatar to win either half36%
1st Half Over 1.5 goals35%
HT/FT Canada / Canada34%
Canada to score in both halves34%
Half with most goals — 1st31%
1st Half Under 0.5 goals29%
Half with most goals — Equal25%
1st Half result — Qatar19%
Canada to win both halves18%
HT/FT Draw / Canada18%
Qatar to score in both halves15%
HT/FT Draw / Draw14%
1st Half Over 2.5 goals13%
HT/FT Qatar / Qatar12%
HT/FT Draw / Qatar8%
HT/FT Qatar / Draw5%
HT/FT Canada / Draw5%
Qatar to win both halves4%
HT/FT Qatar / Canada3%
HT/FT Canada / Qatar1%
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Canada +2.598%
Handicap — Canada +1.592%
Handicap — Qatar -2.586%
Handicap — Canada +0.580%
Handicap — Qatar -1.569%
Handicap — Canada -0.554%
Handicap — Qatar -0.546%
Handicap — Canada -1.531%
Handicap — Qatar +0.520%
Handicap — Canada -2.514%
Handicap — Qatar +1.58%
Handicap — Qatar +2.52%