Brazil v Morocco
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Brazil v Morocco
Recommended bet
Morocco or Draw
Double chance
De-vigged fair price from the marketMed
Win probability77%
Implied (with margin)77%
Model edge—
Odds1.30 3/10
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Brazil60%
Draw25%
Morocco17%
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Match Winner — Morocco49%6.04—
Match Winner — Draw28%4.00—
Match Winner — Brazil23%1.70—
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 2.5 goals53%1.83—
Over 2.5 goals47%2.12—
Over 3 goals—2.90—
Under 3 goals—1.42—
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Morocco or Draw77%——
Double chance — Brazil or Morocco72%——
Draw no bet — Morocco68%——
Double chance — Brazil or Draw51%——
Morocco to win49%——
Draw no bet — Brazil32%——
Draw29%——
Brazil to win23%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals95%——
Over 0.5 goals91%——
Under 4.5 goals88%——
Under 3.5 goals74%——
Over 1.5 goals74%——
Under 2.5 goals53%——
BTTS — Yes52%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals49%——
BTTS — No48%——
Over 2.5 goals47%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.538%——
Under 1.5 goals26%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals26%——
Over 3.5 goals26%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals24%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.514%——
Over 4.5 goals12%——
Under 0.5 goals9%——
Over 5.5 goals5%——
Goals range — 7+ goals2%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Brazil to score 137%——
Brazil to score 037%——
Morocco clean sheet37%——
Morocco to score 133%——
Both score no draw33%——
Winning margin — Draw29%——
Morocco win to nil27%——
Morocco to score 226%——
Winning margin — Morocco by 123%——
Morocco to score 021%——
Brazil clean sheet21%——
Morocco to score 3+21%——
Brazil to score 219%——
Winning margin — Morocco by 215%——
Winning margin — Brazil by 114%——
Correct score 1-114%——
Brazil win to nil12%——
Correct score 0-110%——
Correct score 1-29%——
Correct score 0-29%——
Correct score 0-09%——
Brazil to score 3+8%——
Winning margin — Morocco by 37%——
Winning margin — Brazil by 26%——
Correct score 1-06%——
Correct score 2-16%——
Correct score 1-35%——
Correct score 0-35%——
Correct score 2-25%——
Winning margin — Morocco by 43%——
Winning margin — Brazil by 32%——
Winning margin — Morocco by 5+1%——
Winning margin — Brazil by 40%——
Winning margin — Brazil by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals94%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals77%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals60%——
Morocco to win either half57%——
1st Half result — Draw49%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals40%——
Half with most goals — 2nd40%——
Brazil to win either half36%——
1st Half result — Morocco33%——
Half with most goals — Equal30%——
Half with most goals — 1st30%——
HT/FT Morocco / Morocco27%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals23%——
Morocco to score in both halves21%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw21%——
1st Half result — Brazil19%——
HT/FT Draw / Morocco18%——
HT/FT Brazil / Brazil13%——
Morocco to win both halves12%——
Brazil to score in both halves11%——
HT/FT Draw / Brazil10%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals7%——
HT/FT Morocco / Draw4%——
HT/FT Brazil / Draw4%——
Brazil to win both halves4%——
HT/FT Brazil / Morocco2%——
HT/FT Morocco / Brazil1%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Morocco -2.598%——
Handicap — Morocco -1.591%——
Handicap — Brazil +2.589%——
Handicap — Morocco -0.577%——
Handicap — Brazil +1.574%——
Handicap — Brazil +0.551%——
Handicap — Morocco +0.549%——
Handicap — Morocco +1.526%——
Handicap — Brazil -0.523%——
Handicap — Morocco +2.511%——
Handicap — Brazil -1.59%——
Handicap — Brazil -2.53%——