Brazil v Haiti
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Football·FIFA World Cup· 2026-06-20 · 00:30

Brazil v Haiti

Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketMed
Win probability79%
Implied (with margin)79%
Model edge
Odds1.27 2/7
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Brazil91%
Draw6%
Haiti4%
$16,090 liquidity · $106,810 traded · data from Polymarket
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Match Winner — Brazil42%1.10
Match Winner — Haiti30%43.00
Match Winner — Draw28%16.00
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 3.5 goals69%2.05
Over 2.5 goals53%1.25
Under 2.5 goals47%3.50
Over 3.5 goals31%1.83
Over 3.75 goals1.95
Under 3.75 goals1.87
Over 4 goals2.28
Under 4 goals1.69
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Brazil or Haiti72%
Double chance — Brazil or Draw70%
Draw no bet — Brazil58%
Double chance — Haiti or Draw58%
Brazil to win42%
Draw no bet — Haiti42%
Haiti to win30%
Draw28%
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals93%
Over 0.5 goals93%
Under 4.5 goals85%
Over 1.5 goals79%
Under 3.5 goals69%
BTTS — Yes58%
Over 2.5 goals53%
Goals range — 2-3 goals48%
Under 2.5 goals47%
BTTS Yes + Over 2.545%
BTTS — No42%
Over 3.5 goals31%
Goals range — 4-6 goals29%
Under 1.5 goals21%
Goals range — 0-1 goals21%
Over 4.5 goals15%
BTTS Yes + Under 2.513%
Under 0.5 goals8%
Over 5.5 goals7%
Goals range — 7+ goals3%
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw38%
Haiti to score 136%
Brazil to score 133%
Winning margin — Draw28%
Haiti to score 028%
Brazil clean sheet28%
Brazil to score 225%
Haiti to score 223%
Brazil to score 022%
Haiti clean sheet22%
Brazil win to nil20%
Winning margin — Brazil by 120%
Brazil to score 3+20%
Winning margin — Haiti by 117%
Haiti win to nil14%
Haiti to score 3+14%
Correct score 1-113%
Winning margin — Brazil by 213%
Correct score 2-19%
Winning margin — Haiti by 29%
Correct score 1-08%
Correct score 0-08%
Correct score 1-28%
Correct score 2-07%
Correct score 0-16%
Correct score 2-26%
Winning margin — Brazil by 36%
Correct score 0-25%
Correct score 3-15%
Winning margin — Haiti by 33%
Winning margin — Brazil by 42%
Winning margin — Haiti by 41%
Winning margin — Brazil by 5+1%
Winning margin — Haiti by 5+0%
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals86%
1st Half Over 0.5 goals72%
1st Half Under 1.5 goals64%
Brazil to win either half58%
Haiti to win either half47%
Half with most goals — 2nd44%
1st Half result — Draw40%
1st Half Over 1.5 goals37%
1st Half result — Brazil34%
Half with most goals — 1st31%
Brazil to score in both halves29%
1st Half Under 0.5 goals28%
HT/FT Brazil / Brazil26%
1st Half result — Haiti26%
Half with most goals — Equal25%
Haiti to score in both halves22%
HT/FT Haiti / Haiti18%
HT/FT Draw / Brazil15%
HT/FT Draw / Draw14%
1st Half Over 2.5 goals14%
Brazil to win both halves12%
HT/FT Draw / Haiti11%
Haiti to win both halves7%
HT/FT Haiti / Draw5%
HT/FT Brazil / Draw5%
HT/FT Haiti / Brazil3%
HT/FT Brazil / Haiti2%
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Brazil +2.595%
Handicap — Haiti -2.591%
Handicap — Brazil +1.587%
Handicap — Haiti -1.578%
Handicap — Brazil +0.570%
Handicap — Haiti -0.558%
Handicap — Brazil -0.542%
Handicap — Haiti +0.530%
Handicap — Brazil -1.522%
Handicap — Haiti +1.514%
Handicap — Brazil -2.59%
Handicap — Haiti +2.55%