Scotland v Brazil
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Football·FIFA World Cup· 2026-06-24 · 22:00

Scotland v Brazil

Recommended bet
Brazil or Draw
Double chance
De-vigged fair price from the marketMed
Win probability79%
Implied (with margin)79%
Model edge
Odds1.27 1/4
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Scotland16%
Draw20%
Brazil67%
$19,835 liquidity · $39,081 traded · data from Polymarket
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Match Winner — Brazil52%1.49
Match Winner — Draw27%5.00
Match Winner — Scotland21%8.00
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 2.5 goals52%1.86
Under 2.5 goals48%2.00
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Brazil or Draw79%
Double chance — Scotland or Brazil73%
Draw no bet — Brazil71%
Brazil to win52%
Double chance — Scotland or Draw48%
Draw no bet — Scotland29%
Draw27%
Scotland to win21%
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals94%
Over 0.5 goals92%
Under 4.5 goals85%
Over 1.5 goals78%
Under 3.5 goals70%
BTTS — Yes54%
Over 2.5 goals52%
Under 2.5 goals48%
Goals range — 2-3 goals48%
BTTS — No46%
BTTS Yes + Over 2.542%
Over 3.5 goals30%
Goals range — 4-6 goals28%
Under 1.5 goals22%
Goals range — 0-1 goals22%
Over 4.5 goals15%
BTTS Yes + Under 2.513%
Under 0.5 goals8%
Over 5.5 goals6%
Goals range — 7+ goals2%
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Scotland to score 137%
Scotland to score 036%
Brazil clean sheet36%
Both score no draw35%
Brazil to score 131%
Brazil win to nil28%
Winning margin — Draw27%
Brazil to score 227%
Brazil to score 3+25%
Winning margin — Brazil by 123%
Scotland to score 219%
Brazil to score 018%
Scotland clean sheet18%
Winning margin — Brazil by 217%
Winning margin — Scotland by 113%
Correct score 1-113%
Scotland win to nil10%
Correct score 1-210%
Correct score 0-110%
Correct score 0-210%
Scotland to score 3+9%
Winning margin — Brazil by 38%
Correct score 0-08%
Correct score 2-16%
Winning margin — Scotland by 26%
Correct score 1-36%
Correct score 0-36%
Correct score 1-05%
Correct score 2-25%
Winning margin — Brazil by 43%
Winning margin — Scotland by 32%
Winning margin — Brazil by 5+2%
Winning margin — Scotland by 40%
Winning margin — Scotland by 5+0%
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals88%
1st Half Over 0.5 goals70%
1st Half Under 1.5 goals67%
Brazil to win either half65%
Half with most goals — 2nd43%
1st Half result — Draw41%
1st Half result — Brazil39%
Scotland to win either half37%
1st Half Over 1.5 goals34%
HT/FT Brazil / Brazil33%
Brazil to score in both halves32%
Half with most goals — 1st31%
1st Half Under 0.5 goals30%
Half with most goals — Equal26%
1st Half result — Scotland20%
HT/FT Draw / Brazil18%
Brazil to win both halves17%
Scotland to score in both halves15%
HT/FT Draw / Draw15%
HT/FT Scotland / Scotland12%
1st Half Over 2.5 goals12%
HT/FT Draw / Scotland9%
HT/FT Brazil / Draw5%
HT/FT Scotland / Draw5%
Scotland to win both halves4%
HT/FT Scotland / Brazil3%
HT/FT Brazil / Scotland1%
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Brazil -2.598%
Handicap — Brazil -1.592%
Handicap — Scotland +2.587%
Handicap — Brazil -0.579%
Handicap — Scotland +1.570%
Handicap — Brazil +0.552%
Handicap — Scotland +0.548%
Handicap — Brazil +1.530%
Handicap — Scotland -0.521%
Handicap — Brazil +2.513%
Handicap — Scotland -1.58%
Handicap — Scotland -2.52%