Morocco v Haiti
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Football·FIFA World Cup· 2026-06-24 · 22:00

Morocco v Haiti

Recommended bet
Morocco or Draw
Double chance
De-vigged fair price from the marketMed
Win probability82%
Implied (with margin)82%
Model edge
Odds1.23 2/9
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Morocco74%
Draw18%
Haiti9%
$14,559 liquidity · $20,113 traded · data from Polymarket
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Match Winner — Morocco56%1.35
Match Winner — Draw26%5.60
Match Winner — Haiti18%11.50
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 2.5 goals52%1.73
Under 2.5 goals48%2.14
Over 2.75 goals1.98
Under 2.75 goals1.90
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Morocco or Draw82%
Draw no bet — Morocco75%
Double chance — Morocco or Haiti74%
Morocco to win56%
Double chance — Haiti or Draw44%
Draw26%
Draw no bet — Haiti25%
Haiti to win19%
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals94%
Over 0.5 goals92%
Under 4.5 goals86%
Over 1.5 goals77%
Under 3.5 goals70%
BTTS — Yes53%
Over 2.5 goals52%
Under 2.5 goals48%
Goals range — 2-3 goals48%
BTTS — No47%
BTTS Yes + Over 2.540%
Over 3.5 goals30%
Goals range — 4-6 goals27%
Under 1.5 goals23%
Goals range — 0-1 goals23%
Over 4.5 goals14%
BTTS Yes + Under 2.512%
Under 0.5 goals8%
Over 5.5 goals6%
Goals range — 7+ goals2%
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Haiti to score 039%
Morocco clean sheet39%
Haiti to score 137%
Both score no draw35%
Morocco win to nil31%
Morocco to score 130%
Morocco to score 227%
Morocco to score 3+27%
Winning margin — Draw26%
Winning margin — Morocco by 123%
Winning margin — Morocco by 218%
Haiti to score 218%
Morocco to score 017%
Haiti clean sheet17%
Correct score 1-112%
Winning margin — Haiti by 112%
Correct score 2-010%
Correct score 1-010%
Correct score 2-110%
Winning margin — Morocco by 39%
Haiti win to nil9%
Correct score 0-08%
Haiti to score 3+7%
Correct score 3-06%
Correct score 3-16%
Correct score 1-25%
Winning margin — Haiti by 25%
Correct score 0-15%
Correct score 2-25%
Winning margin — Morocco by 44%
Winning margin — Morocco by 5+2%
Winning margin — Haiti by 31%
Winning margin — Haiti by 40%
Winning margin — Haiti by 5+0%
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals89%
1st Half Over 0.5 goals69%
Morocco to win either half67%
1st Half Under 1.5 goals67%
Half with most goals — 2nd43%
1st Half result — Draw41%
1st Half result — Morocco41%
HT/FT Morocco / Morocco35%
Haiti to win either half34%
1st Half Over 1.5 goals33%
Morocco to score in both halves33%
Half with most goals — 1st31%
1st Half Under 0.5 goals31%
Half with most goals — Equal26%
HT/FT Draw / Morocco19%
Morocco to win both halves18%
1st Half result — Haiti18%
HT/FT Draw / Draw15%
Haiti to score in both halves13%
1st Half Over 2.5 goals12%
HT/FT Haiti / Haiti11%
HT/FT Draw / Haiti8%
HT/FT Haiti / Draw5%
HT/FT Morocco / Draw5%
Haiti to win both halves3%
HT/FT Haiti / Morocco3%
HT/FT Morocco / Haiti1%
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Morocco +2.598%
Handicap — Morocco +1.593%
Handicap — Haiti -2.585%
Handicap — Morocco +0.582%
Handicap — Haiti -1.568%
Handicap — Morocco -0.556%
Handicap — Haiti -0.544%
Handicap — Morocco -1.533%
Handicap — Haiti +0.519%
Handicap — Morocco -2.515%
Handicap — Haiti +1.57%
Handicap — Haiti +2.52%