Australia v Turkey
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Australia v Turkey
Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketMed
Win probability78%
Implied (with margin)78%
Model edge—
Odds1.28 2/7
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Australia18%
Draw26%
Turkey57%
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Match Winner — Australia46%6.00—
Match Winner — Draw28%4.00—
Match Winner — Turkey26%1.74—
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 2.5 goals53%2.07—
Under 2.5 goals47%1.88—
Over 3 goals—2.75—
Under 3 goals—1.44—
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Australia or Draw74%——
Double chance — Australia or Turkey72%——
Draw no bet — Australia64%——
Double chance — Turkey or Draw54%——
Australia to win46%——
Draw no bet — Turkey36%——
Draw28%——
Turkey to win26%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals94%——
Over 0.5 goals92%——
Under 4.5 goals85%——
Over 1.5 goals78%——
Under 3.5 goals69%——
BTTS — Yes57%——
Over 2.5 goals53%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals48%——
Under 2.5 goals47%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.544%——
BTTS — No43%——
Over 3.5 goals31%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals28%——
Under 1.5 goals22%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals22%——
Over 4.5 goals15%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.513%——
Under 0.5 goals8%——
Over 5.5 goals6%——
Goals range — 7+ goals2%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw37%——
Turkey to score 136%——
Australia to score 132%——
Turkey to score 031%——
Australia clean sheet31%——
Winning margin — Draw28%——
Australia to score 226%——
Australia win to nil23%——
Australia to score 3+22%——
Winning margin — Australia by 121%——
Turkey to score 221%——
Australia to score 020%——
Turkey clean sheet20%——
Winning margin — Turkey by 115%——
Winning margin — Australia by 215%——
Correct score 1-113%——
Turkey win to nil12%——
Turkey to score 3+11%——
Correct score 2-19%——
Correct score 1-08%——
Correct score 2-08%——
Correct score 0-08%——
Winning margin — Turkey by 28%——
Correct score 1-27%——
Winning margin — Australia by 37%——
Correct score 0-16%——
Correct score 2-26%——
Correct score 3-15%——
Correct score 3-04%——
Winning margin — Turkey by 33%——
Winning margin — Australia by 43%——
Winning margin — Australia by 5+1%——
Winning margin — Turkey by 41%——
Winning margin — Turkey by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals87%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals71%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals65%——
Australia to win either half61%——
Half with most goals — 2nd44%——
Turkey to win either half43%——
1st Half result — Draw41%——
1st Half result — Australia36%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals35%——
Half with most goals — 1st31%——
Australia to score in both halves30%——
HT/FT Australia / Australia29%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals29%——
Half with most goals — Equal25%——
1st Half result — Turkey23%——
Turkey to score in both halves19%——
HT/FT Draw / Australia16%——
HT/FT Turkey / Turkey16%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw15%——
Australia to win both halves14%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals13%——
HT/FT Draw / Turkey10%——
Turkey to win both halves6%——
HT/FT Turkey / Draw5%——
HT/FT Australia / Draw5%——
HT/FT Turkey / Australia3%——
HT/FT Australia / Turkey2%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Australia +2.597%——
Handicap — Turkey -2.590%——
Handicap — Australia +1.589%——
Handicap — Turkey -1.575%——
Handicap — Australia +0.574%——
Handicap — Turkey -0.554%——
Handicap — Australia -0.546%——
Handicap — Turkey +0.526%——
Handicap — Australia -1.525%——
Handicap — Turkey +1.511%——
Handicap — Australia -2.510%——
Handicap — Turkey +2.54%——