Turkey v Paraguay
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Turkey v Paraguay
Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketMed
Win probability77%
Implied (with margin)77%
Model edge—
Odds1.30 3/10
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Turkey44%
Draw31%
Paraguay27%
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Match Winner — Turkey47%2.30—
Match Winner — Draw28%3.30—
Match Winner — Paraguay25%3.55—
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 2.5 goals51%2.35—
Under 2.5 goals49%1.65—
Over 2 goals—1.78—
Under 2 goals—2.08—
Over 2.25 goals—2.02—
Under 2.25 goals—1.82—
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Turkey or Draw75%——
Double chance — Turkey or Paraguay72%——
Draw no bet — Turkey65%——
Double chance — Paraguay or Draw53%——
Turkey to win47%——
Draw no bet — Paraguay35%——
Draw28%——
Paraguay to win25%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals94%——
Over 0.5 goals92%——
Under 4.5 goals86%——
Over 1.5 goals77%——
Under 3.5 goals71%——
BTTS — Yes55%——
Over 2.5 goals51%——
Under 2.5 goals49%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals48%——
BTTS — No45%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.542%——
Over 3.5 goals29%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals27%——
Under 1.5 goals23%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals23%——
Over 4.5 goals14%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.513%——
Under 0.5 goals8%——
Over 5.5 goals6%——
Goals range — 7+ goals2%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Paraguay to score 137%——
Both score no draw36%——
Paraguay to score 032%——
Turkey clean sheet32%——
Turkey to score 132%——
Winning margin — Draw28%——
Turkey to score 226%——
Turkey win to nil24%——
Winning margin — Turkey by 122%——
Turkey to score 3+22%——
Paraguay to score 221%——
Turkey to score 020%——
Paraguay clean sheet20%——
Winning margin — Paraguay by 115%——
Winning margin — Turkey by 215%——
Correct score 1-113%——
Paraguay win to nil12%——
Paraguay to score 3+11%——
Correct score 2-19%——
Correct score 1-09%——
Correct score 2-08%——
Correct score 0-08%——
Winning margin — Paraguay by 27%——
Winning margin — Turkey by 37%——
Correct score 1-27%——
Correct score 0-16%——
Correct score 2-25%——
Correct score 3-15%——
Correct score 3-05%——
Winning margin — Turkey by 43%——
Winning margin — Paraguay by 32%——
Winning margin — Turkey by 5+1%——
Winning margin — Paraguay by 41%——
Winning margin — Paraguay by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals89%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals68%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals68%——
Turkey to win either half60%——
1st Half result — Draw43%——
Half with most goals — 2nd43%——
Paraguay to win either half41%——
1st Half result — Turkey35%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals32%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals32%——
Half with most goals — 1st31%——
HT/FT Turkey / Turkey29%——
Turkey to score in both halves27%——
Half with most goals — Equal27%——
1st Half result — Paraguay22%——
Paraguay to score in both halves17%——
HT/FT Draw / Turkey16%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw16%——
HT/FT Paraguay / Paraguay15%——
Turkey to win both halves13%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals11%——
HT/FT Draw / Paraguay10%——
Paraguay to win both halves5%——
HT/FT Paraguay / Draw5%——
HT/FT Turkey / Draw5%——
HT/FT Paraguay / Turkey2%——
HT/FT Turkey / Paraguay2%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Turkey +2.597%——
Handicap — Paraguay -2.590%——
Handicap — Turkey +1.590%——
Handicap — Paraguay -1.575%——
Handicap — Turkey +0.575%——
Handicap — Paraguay -0.553%——
Handicap — Turkey -0.547%——
Handicap — Paraguay +0.525%——
Handicap — Turkey -1.525%——
Handicap — Paraguay +1.511%——
Handicap — Turkey -2.510%——
Handicap — Paraguay +2.53%——