Turkey v United States
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Turkey v United States
Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketMed
Win probability80%
Implied (with margin)80%
Model edge—
Odds1.25 1/4
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Turkey38%
Draw27%
United States38%
All markets
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Turkey or United States72%——
Double chance — Turkey or Draw66%——
Double chance — United States or Draw62%——
Draw no bet — Turkey52%——
Draw no bet — United States48%——
Turkey to win38%——
United States to win34%——
Draw28%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 0.5 goals93%——
Under 5.5 goals93%——
Under 4.5 goals83%——
Over 1.5 goals80%——
Under 3.5 goals67%——
BTTS — Yes60%——
Over 2.5 goals55%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals47%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.547%——
Under 2.5 goals45%——
BTTS — No40%——
Over 3.5 goals33%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals30%——
Under 1.5 goals20%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals20%——
Over 4.5 goals17%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.513%——
Over 5.5 goals7%——
Under 0.5 goals7%——
Goals range — 7+ goals3%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw39%——
United States to score 134%——
Turkey to score 134%——
Winning margin — Draw28%——
Turkey to score 225%——
United States to score 024%——
Turkey clean sheet24%——
United States to score 224%——
Turkey to score 023%——
United States clean sheet23%——
Winning margin — Turkey by 119%——
Turkey to score 3+19%——
Winning margin — United States by 118%——
Turkey win to nil17%——
United States to score 3+17%——
United States win to nil16%——
Correct score 1-113%——
Winning margin — Turkey by 212%——
Winning margin — United States by 211%——
Correct score 2-19%——
Correct score 1-28%——
Correct score 0-07%——
Correct score 1-07%——
Correct score 0-16%——
Correct score 2-06%——
Correct score 2-26%——
Correct score 0-26%——
Winning margin — Turkey by 35%——
Winning margin — United States by 34%——
Correct score 3-14%——
Winning margin — Turkey by 42%——
Winning margin — United States by 41%——
Winning margin — Turkey by 5+1%——
Winning margin — United States by 5+1%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals83%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals75%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals59%——
Turkey to win either half55%——
United States to win either half52%——
Half with most goals — 2nd45%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals41%——
1st Half result — Draw38%——
1st Half result — Turkey32%——
Half with most goals — 1st32%——
Turkey to score in both halves30%——
1st Half result — United States30%——
United States to score in both halves28%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals25%——
HT/FT Turkey / Turkey24%——
Half with most goals — Equal24%——
HT/FT United States / United States22%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals17%——
HT/FT Draw / Turkey13%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw13%——
HT/FT Draw / United States12%——
Turkey to win both halves11%——
United States to win both halves10%——
HT/FT United States / Draw5%——
HT/FT Turkey / Draw5%——
HT/FT United States / Turkey3%——
HT/FT Turkey / United States3%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Turkey +2.594%——
Handicap — United States -2.593%——
Handicap — Turkey +1.583%——
Handicap — United States -1.581%——
Handicap — Turkey +0.566%——
Handicap — United States -0.562%——
Handicap — Turkey -0.538%——
Handicap — United States +0.534%——
Handicap — Turkey -1.519%——
Handicap — United States +1.517%——
Handicap — Turkey -2.57%——
Handicap — United States +2.56%——