Paraguay v Australia
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Paraguay v Australia
Recommended bet
Australia or Draw
Double chance
De-vigged fair price from the marketMed
Win probability82%
Implied (with margin)82%
Model edge—
Odds1.21 2/9
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Paraguay46%
Draw31%
Australia26%
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Match Winner — Australia56%3.65—
Match Winner — Draw27%3.35—
Match Winner — Paraguay18%2.23—
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 2.5 goals52%1.65—
Over 2.5 goals48%2.28—
Over 2.25 goals—2.04—
Under 2.25 goals—1.83—
Over 2 goals—1.67—
Under 2 goals—2.08—
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Australia or Draw83%——
Draw no bet — Australia76%——
Double chance — Paraguay or Australia74%——
Australia to win56%——
Double chance — Paraguay or Draw44%——
Draw27%——
Draw no bet — Paraguay24%——
Paraguay to win18%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals95%——
Over 0.5 goals91%——
Under 4.5 goals88%——
Over 1.5 goals75%——
Under 3.5 goals73%——
Under 2.5 goals52%——
BTTS — No50%——
BTTS — Yes50%——
Over 2.5 goals48%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals48%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.537%——
Over 3.5 goals27%——
Under 1.5 goals25%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals25%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals25%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.513%——
Over 4.5 goals12%——
Under 0.5 goals9%——
Over 5.5 goals5%——
Goals range — 7+ goals2%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Paraguay to score 041%——
Australia clean sheet41%——
Paraguay to score 137%——
Australia win to nil33%——
Both score no draw32%——
Australia to score 131%——
Winning margin — Draw27%——
Australia to score 227%——
Australia to score 3+25%——
Winning margin — Australia by 124%——
Australia to score 018%——
Paraguay clean sheet18%——
Winning margin — Australia by 218%——
Paraguay to score 216%——
Correct score 1-113%——
Winning margin — Paraguay by 111%——
Correct score 0-111%——
Correct score 0-211%——
Correct score 1-210%——
Winning margin — Australia by 39%——
Paraguay win to nil9%——
Correct score 0-09%——
Correct score 0-36%——
Paraguay to score 3+6%——
Correct score 1-36%——
Correct score 1-05%——
Correct score 2-15%——
Winning margin — Paraguay by 25%——
Correct score 2-24%——
Winning margin — Australia by 44%——
Winning margin — Australia by 5+2%——
Winning margin — Paraguay by 31%——
Winning margin — Paraguay by 40%——
Winning margin — Paraguay by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals92%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals75%——
Australia to win either half64%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals62%——
1st Half result — Draw46%——
Half with most goals — 2nd41%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals38%——
1st Half result — Australia38%——
HT/FT Australia / Australia33%——
Paraguay to win either half31%——
Half with most goals — 1st30%——
Half with most goals — Equal29%——
Australia to score in both halves26%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals26%——
HT/FT Draw / Australia19%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw19%——
1st Half result — Paraguay16%——
Australia to win both halves16%——
HT/FT Paraguay / Paraguay10%——
Paraguay to score in both halves9%——
HT/FT Draw / Paraguay8%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals8%——
HT/FT Australia / Draw4%——
HT/FT Paraguay / Draw4%——
Paraguay to win both halves3%——
HT/FT Paraguay / Australia2%——
HT/FT Australia / Paraguay1%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Australia -2.599%——
Handicap — Australia -1.594%——
Handicap — Paraguay +2.586%——
Handicap — Australia -0.583%——
Handicap — Paraguay +1.568%——
Handicap — Australia +0.556%——
Handicap — Paraguay +0.544%——
Handicap — Australia +1.532%——
Handicap — Paraguay -0.518%——
Handicap — Australia +2.515%——
Handicap — Paraguay -1.56%——
Handicap — Paraguay -2.52%——