Germany v Curaçao
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Germany v Curaçao
Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketMed
Win probability81%
Implied (with margin)81%
Model edge—
Odds1.24 1/4
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Germany94%
Draw4%
Curaçao2%
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Match Winner — Germany47%1.06—
Match Winner — Draw27%24.00—
Match Winner — Curaçao26%75.00—
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 4.5 goals82%1.81—
Over 2.5 goals57%1.18—
Under 2.5 goals43%4.95—
Over 4.5 goals18%2.21—
Over 4.25 goals—1.90—
Under 4.25 goals—1.93—
Over 4 goals—1.74—
Under 4 goals—2.10—
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Germany or Draw74%——
Double chance — Germany or Curaçao73%——
Draw no bet — Germany65%——
Double chance — Curaçao or Draw53%——
Germany to win47%——
Draw no bet — Curaçao35%——
Draw27%——
Curaçao to win26%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 0.5 goals93%——
Under 5.5 goals92%——
Under 4.5 goals82%——
Over 1.5 goals81%——
Under 3.5 goals66%——
BTTS — Yes60%——
Over 2.5 goals57%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.547%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals47%——
Under 2.5 goals43%——
BTTS — No40%——
Over 3.5 goals34%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals31%——
Under 1.5 goals19%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals19%——
Over 4.5 goals18%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.513%——
Over 5.5 goals8%——
Under 0.5 goals7%——
Goals range — 7+ goals3%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw40%——
Curaçao to score 136%——
Germany to score 131%——
Curaçao to score 029%——
Germany clean sheet29%——
Winning margin — Draw27%——
Germany to score 227%——
Germany to score 3+25%——
Germany win to nil23%——
Curaçao to score 222%——
Winning margin — Germany by 121%——
Germany to score 018%——
Curaçao clean sheet18%——
Winning margin — Germany by 215%——
Winning margin — Curaçao by 115%——
Curaçao to score 3+13%——
Correct score 1-113%——
Curaçao win to nil11%——
Correct score 2-110%——
Correct score 2-08%——
Winning margin — Curaçao by 28%——
Correct score 1-08%——
Winning margin — Germany by 37%——
Correct score 1-27%——
Correct score 0-07%——
Correct score 2-26%——
Correct score 3-16%——
Correct score 0-15%——
Correct score 3-04%——
Winning margin — Germany by 43%——
Winning margin — Curaçao by 33%——
Winning margin — Germany by 5+1%——
Winning margin — Curaçao by 41%——
Winning margin — Curaçao by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals81%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals78%——
Germany to win either half65%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals56%——
Half with most goals — 2nd46%——
Curaçao to win either half44%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals44%——
1st Half result — Germany39%——
Germany to score in both halves38%——
1st Half result — Draw36%——
Half with most goals — 1st32%——
HT/FT Germany / Germany32%——
Curaçao to score in both halves25%——
1st Half result — Curaçao25%——
Half with most goals — Equal23%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals23%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals19%——
Germany to win both halves16%——
HT/FT Curaçao / Curaçao16%——
HT/FT Draw / Germany15%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw12%——
HT/FT Draw / Curaçao9%——
Curaçao to win both halves6%——
HT/FT Curaçao / Draw5%——
HT/FT Germany / Draw5%——
HT/FT Curaçao / Germany3%——
HT/FT Germany / Curaçao2%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Germany +2.596%——
Handicap — Germany +1.589%——
Handicap — Curaçao -2.589%——
Handicap — Germany +0.574%——
Handicap — Curaçao -1.574%——
Handicap — Curaçao -0.553%——
Handicap — Germany -0.547%——
Handicap — Germany -1.526%——
Handicap — Curaçao +0.526%——
Handicap — Germany -2.512%——
Handicap — Curaçao +1.511%——
Handicap — Curaçao +2.54%——