Ivory Coast v Ecuador
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Football·FIFA World Cup· 2026-06-14 · 23:00

Ivory Coast v Ecuador

Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
Best price at MatchbookMed
Win probability73%
Implied (with margin)60%
Model edge+21.1%
Odds1.67 4/6
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Ivory Coast27%
Draw34%
Ecuador40%
$347,931 liquidity · $87,756 traded · data from Polymarket
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Match Winner — Ivory Coast44%3.75
Match Winner — Draw30%2.90
Match Winner — Ecuador26%2.54
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 1.5 goals73%1.67
Under 2.5 goals55%1.44
Over 2.5 goals45%2.92
Under 1.5 goals27%2.46
Over 1.75 goals1.82
Under 1.75 goals2.09
Over 2 goals2.23
Under 2 goals1.75
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Ivory Coast or Draw74%
Double chance — Ivory Coast or Ecuador70%
Draw no bet — Ivory Coast62%
Double chance — Ecuador or Draw56%
Ivory Coast to win44%
Draw no bet — Ecuador38%
Draw30%
Ecuador to win26%
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals96%
Over 0.5 goals90%
Under 4.5 goals89%
Under 3.5 goals76%
Over 1.5 goals73%
Under 2.5 goals55%
BTTS — Yes51%
BTTS — No49%
Goals range — 2-3 goals49%
Over 2.5 goals45%
BTTS Yes + Over 2.537%
Under 1.5 goals28%
Goals range — 0-1 goals28%
Over 3.5 goals24%
Goals range — 4-6 goals23%
BTTS Yes + Under 2.514%
Over 4.5 goals11%
Under 0.5 goals10%
Over 5.5 goals4%
Goals range — 7+ goals1%
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Ecuador to score 137%
Ecuador to score 035%
Ivory Coast clean sheet35%
Ivory Coast to score 134%
Both score no draw31%
Winning margin — Draw30%
Ivory Coast win to nil25%
Ivory Coast to score 224%
Ivory Coast to score 024%
Ecuador clean sheet24%
Winning margin — Ivory Coast by 122%
Ecuador to score 219%
Ivory Coast to score 3+17%
Winning margin — Ecuador by 116%
Correct score 1-114%
Ecuador win to nil14%
Winning margin — Ivory Coast by 214%
Correct score 1-010%
Correct score 0-010%
Ecuador to score 3+9%
Correct score 2-19%
Correct score 2-09%
Winning margin — Ecuador by 28%
Correct score 0-17%
Correct score 1-27%
Winning margin — Ivory Coast by 36%
Correct score 2-25%
Correct score 0-25%
Correct score 3-14%
Winning margin — Ecuador by 32%
Winning margin — Ivory Coast by 42%
Winning margin — Ivory Coast by 5+1%
Winning margin — Ecuador by 41%
Winning margin — Ecuador by 5+0%
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals96%
1st Half Under 1.5 goals82%
1st Half Over 0.5 goals54%
1st Half result — Draw53%
Ivory Coast to win either half50%
1st Half Under 0.5 goals46%
Half with most goals — 2nd38%
Ecuador to win either half37%
Half with most goals — Equal33%
Half with most goals — 1st29%
1st Half result — Ivory Coast28%
HT/FT Draw / Draw25%
HT/FT Ivory Coast / Ivory Coast23%
1st Half result — Ecuador19%
1st Half Over 1.5 goals19%
HT/FT Draw / Ivory Coast16%
Ivory Coast to score in both halves15%
HT/FT Ecuador / Ecuador14%
HT/FT Draw / Ecuador11%
Ecuador to score in both halves10%
Ivory Coast to win both halves9%
1st Half Over 2.5 goals5%
Ecuador to win both halves4%
HT/FT Ecuador / Draw4%
HT/FT Ivory Coast / Draw4%
HT/FT Ecuador / Ivory Coast1%
HT/FT Ivory Coast / Ecuador1%
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Ivory Coast +2.597%
Handicap — Ecuador -2.592%
Handicap — Ivory Coast +1.589%
Handicap — Ecuador -1.578%
Handicap — Ivory Coast +0.574%
Handicap — Ecuador -0.556%
Handicap — Ivory Coast -0.544%
Handicap — Ecuador +0.526%
Handicap — Ivory Coast -1.522%
Handicap — Ecuador +1.511%
Handicap — Ivory Coast -2.58%
Handicap — Ecuador +2.53%