Ecuador v Curaçao
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Ecuador v Curaçao
Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketMed
Win probability75%
Implied (with margin)75%
Model edge—
Odds1.33 1/3
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Ecuador81%
Draw14%
Curaçao7%
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Match Winner — Ecuador38%1.25—
Match Winner — Curaçao32%21.00—
Match Winner — Draw30%7.85—
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 2.5 goals52%2.33—
Over 2.5 goals48%1.68—
Over 3 goals—2.10—
Under 3 goals—1.74—
Over 2.75 goals—1.85—
Under 2.75 goals—1.98—
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Ecuador or Curaçao70%——
Double chance — Ecuador or Draw68%——
Double chance — Curaçao or Draw62%——
Draw no bet — Ecuador54%——
Draw no bet — Curaçao46%——
Ecuador to win38%——
Curaçao to win32%——
Draw30%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals95%——
Over 0.5 goals91%——
Under 4.5 goals88%——
Over 1.5 goals75%——
Under 3.5 goals74%——
BTTS — Yes55%——
Under 2.5 goals52%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals49%——
Over 2.5 goals48%——
BTTS — No46%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.540%——
Over 3.5 goals27%——
Under 1.5 goals25%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals25%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals25%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.514%——
Over 4.5 goals12%——
Under 0.5 goals9%——
Over 5.5 goals5%——
Goals range — 7+ goals2%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Curaçao to score 136%——
Ecuador to score 135%——
Both score no draw34%——
Winning margin — Draw30%——
Curaçao to score 029%——
Ecuador clean sheet29%——
Ecuador to score 026%——
Curaçao clean sheet26%——
Ecuador to score 224%——
Curaçao to score 222%——
Ecuador win to nil20%——
Winning margin — Ecuador by 120%——
Winning margin — Curaçao by 118%——
Curaçao win to nil16%——
Ecuador to score 3+16%——
Correct score 1-114%——
Curaçao to score 3+13%——
Winning margin — Ecuador by 212%——
Winning margin — Curaçao by 210%——
Correct score 0-09%——
Correct score 2-19%——
Correct score 1-09%——
Correct score 1-28%——
Correct score 0-18%——
Correct score 2-07%——
Correct score 0-26%——
Correct score 2-25%——
Winning margin — Ecuador by 35%——
Correct score 3-14%——
Winning margin — Curaçao by 34%——
Winning margin — Ecuador by 42%——
Winning margin — Curaçao by 41%——
Winning margin — Ecuador by 5+1%——
Winning margin — Curaçao by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals93%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals75%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals62%——
Ecuador to win either half50%——
1st Half result — Draw48%——
Curaçao to win either half45%——
Half with most goals — 2nd41%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals38%——
Half with most goals — 1st30%——
Half with most goals — Equal29%——
1st Half result — Ecuador28%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals25%——
1st Half result — Curaçao25%——
HT/FT Ecuador / Ecuador22%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw20%——
Ecuador to score in both halves18%——
HT/FT Curaçao / Curaçao18%——
Curaçao to score in both halves16%——
HT/FT Draw / Ecuador15%——
HT/FT Draw / Curaçao13%——
Ecuador to win both halves9%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals7%——
Curaçao to win both halves7%——
HT/FT Curaçao / Draw5%——
HT/FT Ecuador / Draw5%——
HT/FT Curaçao / Ecuador2%——
HT/FT Ecuador / Curaçao2%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Ecuador +2.595%——
Handicap — Curaçao -2.593%——
Handicap — Ecuador +1.586%——
Handicap — Curaçao -1.582%——
Handicap — Ecuador +0.568%——
Handicap — Curaçao -0.562%——
Handicap — Ecuador -0.538%——
Handicap — Curaçao +0.532%——
Handicap — Ecuador -1.519%——
Handicap — Curaçao +1.514%——
Handicap — Ecuador -2.57%——
Handicap — Curaçao +2.55%——